2025 NFL Futures Betting: AFC West Over/Under Win Totals Predictions

We continue our series looking at one of the favorites among NFL futures bettors: over/under win totals. Canadian sportsbooks generally offer 1-3 numbers (ie: over/under 10.5 wins) for each team, with odds for them to go over or under each number. Because of all those variables, we’re doing this by division.

The AFC West will be our next task. This is arguably the best division in the NFL (though the NFC North is a close second) and this year, all four teams have a legitimate chance at making the postseason. That has never happened, however, but three playoff teams out of four here seems all but guaranteed. But just how many wins will each team earn to get there?

2025 AFC West Over/Under Win Totals Futures Market: Breakdown & Value Picks - August 11

All odds provided by Betway.

2025 AFC West Over/Under Win Totals - Betting Odds

Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs have won no fewer than four games in divisional play in each season since Patrick Mahomes took over in 2018. We think they’ll do it again in 2025. They meet the Eagles in a Super Bowl 59 rematch in Week 2, and that’s a tough one to call, but we’ll give it to Philly. Apart from that, K.C. should sweep the rest of their NFC East matchups. A sweep against the AFC South doesn’t seem out of the realm of possibility either considering they’ve beaten the Texans five times in a row. They might have the toughest list of additional games, however: vs. BAL, vs. DET, @ BUF. They should be able to win one of those to get to 12.

Best Bet: Kansas City Chiefs Over 11.5 Wins (+100)

Los Angeles Chargers: The AFC West is going to be tight, so apart from the Chiefs, we don’t think there will be any other sweeps within the division. L.A. should go 3-3 in division play. They could possibly go 2-2 against the NFC East, though 3-1 is possible considering they get the Commanders in L.A. They should be able to swing a 3-1 mark against the AFC South as well. That means if they win just one game against the Dolphins, Vikings, and Steelers, they reach nine wins. We like them to beat both the Fins and the Steelers, however.

Best Bet: Los Angeles Chargers Over 9.5 Wins (+100)

Denver Broncos: Once again, 3-3 in the wild, wild, AFC West seems fair here. The Broncos and Chargers are likely to be neck and neck all season. And we think they likely finish with the same record. Denver was excellent at home last year, going 6-2. This year they get nine games at Mile High. We expect them to go 5-1 in those six non-divisional home games. That’s eight wins. In their remaining five road games, a 2-3 mark seems reasonable considering they go to Indy and New York to play the Jets.

Best Bet: Denver Broncos Over 9.5 Wins (+100)

Las Vegas Raiders: The Raiders are likely to finish last in this division, but that doesn’t mean they’ll be way off the pace. We expect them to get splits with their division-mates as well. In their eight games against the AFC South and the NFC East, we expect them to get four wins, which brings them to seven, already on the cusp of the largest win total betting sites are offering for L.V. in this market. They also play the Browns at home (win). That gives us eight, but they could honestly get to 10 as well: they play the young and rebuilding Patriots and Bears within the first month of the season before they’ll have had a chance to really coalesce. If we could go over 8.5 here, we would.

Best Bet: Las Vegas Raiders Over 7.5 Wins (+150)/Betway