2025 NFL MVP June Odds: Best Bets & Value Picks - June 13
All odds provided by Betway.
2025 NFL MVP Betting Odds
| Player | February 17 Odds | June 13 Odds |
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | +600 | +500 |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | +650 | +600 |
| Joe Burrow (CIN) | +850 | +650 |
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | +750 | +650 |
| Jayden Daniels (WAS) | +1,200 | +850 |
| Justin Herbert (LAC) | +1,600 | +1,800 |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | +1,800 | +1,800 |
| C.J. Stroud (HOU) | +1,800 | +2,200 |
| Jared Goff (DET) | +2,500 | +2,500 |
| Brock Purdy (SF) | +2,500 | +2,500 |
| Jordan Love (GB) | +2,500 | +2,500 |
| Caleb Williams (CHI) | N/A | +2,800 |
| Matthew Stafford (LAR | N/A | +3,000 |
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | N/A | +3,300 |
| Trevor Lawrence (JAX) | N/A | +3,300 |
| Baker Mayfield (TB) | N/A | +3,300 |
The Favorites
Lamar Jackson (+500): We don’t usually like to push the favorite at such short odds three months before the season, but Jackson has a great story here. He will be one more year into a lethal partnership with Derrick Henry, he has better receivers to throw to, and voters might feel they owe him one after robbing him blind of the award in 2024.
Josh Allen (+600): The Buffalo Bills QB will not win this year largely for the reasons we like Lamar. They gave Allen the award last year because they felt they owed him. By any metric, Jackson was better. But Allen has his trophy now, so if he wants to become just the third back-to-back winner since 2005, he’s going to have to outplay the field (and Lamar specifically) by a wide margin.
Joe Burrow (+650): Joe Burrow’s odds on sports betting sites have shifted from +850 to +650 since February, the largest drop among the top four. That’s because of the massive re-signings of receivers Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. However, Burrow had this same situation last year, and Cincy has not improved their offensive line or defense much. Burrow will have MVP numbers, but I don’t see why the Bengals would win more than the nine games they did last year. That’s not enough to be MVP.
Patrick Mahomes (+650): Over the last couple of years, Patrick Mahomes has taken a bit of the LeBron-James-in-Cleveland approach to the regular season. After his humbling in the Super Bowl (and the whole team was humbled, but Mahomes was especially humiliated), we believe Mahomes and the Chiefs will have a renewed interest in dominating during the fall. When healthy, Mahomes has a great set of weapons, and he can win the MVP with nothing, like he did in 2022. We love this bet.
Long Shot Value Bets
- Jayden Daniels (+850): The Commanders have added both weapons and protection for the youngster. If he builds on last year, these odds look great, but we have a feeling he might regress a touch after an otherworldly rookie year.
- Jared Goff (+2,500): The veteran will be leading one of the most dynamic and high-powered offenses in the league, and we can’t imagine the Lions not staying in the mix for the division title. Those are ingredients for an MVP in my book.
- Brock Purdy (+2,500): The easiest schedule both by 2024 records and projected 2025 records means that Purdy could put up some really impressive numbers while leading the Niners to 12+ wins. His performance in 2023 could have easily won him an MVP. But now that he’s paid like a real starting QB, voters will have to treat him like it.
- Caleb Williams (+2,800): Much like Daniels, the Bears’ second-year QB has been given a ton of ammo to work with in his second year. Ben Johnson knows how to get the most out of his QBs, and Caleb Williams has a lot to offer. We expect a major step forward under the new regime.
