UFC Edmonton: Blanchfield vs. Jasudavicius Predictions & Odds

Alex Murray
By: Alex Murray
UFC Picks
UFC Edmonton: Blanchfield vs. Jasudavicius Predictions & Odds

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If you’re a Canadian UFC fighter, you’re almost certainly busy this week. The UFC is back in Edmonton for the first time since 2024. With 13 fights happening at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta this Saturday, it’s going to be a massive card: and all but one of those 13 fights features a Canuck looking to impress in front of the home crowd.

The biggest Canadian name is Mike Malott, who will fight in the main event. But No. 6 women’s flyweight contender Jasmine Jasudavicius, a native of St. Catharines, Ontario just down the road from where Malott grew up in Burlington, is not far behind him.

Though she’s on the back nine of her career, Jasudavicius is still a respected fighter, which is why No. 3 Erin Blanchfield took this fight. Will the grizzled veteran go on one last run in front of the home fans, or will the young fighter from New York continue her march to a title shot at 125 pounds?

Read on for our tale of the tape, betting predictions, and the latest UFC betting odds for the co-main event on Saturday!

Highlights

  • Erin Blanchfield is 8-1 since joining the UFC in 2021
  • Jasmine Jasudavicius has won 6 of her last 7 fights coming into UFC Edmonton
  • Oddsmakers aren’t giving the Canadian Jasudavicius much of a chance as a +260 dog

UFC Edmonton: Joaquin Buckley vs. Mike Malott Welterweight Main Event Bout - October 17 - 8 P.M. EDT

All odds provided by Powerplay.

Tale of the Tape:

CategoryErin BlanchfieldJasmine Jasudavicius
Height5’4” (1.63 m)5’7” (1.70 cm)
Weight125 lbs (57 kg)125 lbs (57 kg)
Reach68” (193 cm)68” (173 cm)
Age2737
NicknameCold BloodedN/A
Fighting StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
Significant Strikes Landed/Minute5.243.47
Strikes Absorbed/Minute4.253.46
Takedown Average1.962.63
Takedown Defense78 %75 %
Current RankingNo. 3No. 6
Fighting Out OfElmwood Park, New Jersey, U.S.St. Catharines, Ontario, Canada

Fight Analysis & Prediction

No. 3 Erin Blanchfield vs. No. 6 Jasmine Jasudavicius Co-Main Event Betting Odds

FighterMoneylineSpreadRoundsWin by DecisionWin by KO/TKO/DQWin by SubmissionGo the Distance
Erin Blanchfield-330-3.5 (-120)O2.5 (-425)-150+850+550Yes (-340)
Jasmine Jasudavicius+260+3.5 (-110)U2.5 (+300)+350+2,500+1,500No (+250)

Jasmine Jasudavicius (15-4) may be 37 years old, but she’s been on one of her best runs as a pro fighter in recent years. She’s won six of her last seven, with the only loss being a first-round TKO loss to Manon Fiorot last year. But she bounced back from that quickly with a decision win over Karine Silva earlier this year. Her five-fight winning streak before the Fiorot loss included stoppages of Jessica Andrade and Ariane da Silva.

However, we think the younger Erin Blanchfield (14-2) will be too much for the Canadian on her home turf. Blanchfield is one of the best wrestlers and grapplers in the sport. She’s not very fun to watch, but she gets the job done. She’s better on the mat and on the feet than Jasudavicius, and we think she’s going to get Jasudavicius on the ground and keep her there. Blanchfield has a 0.8 bottom time percentage, second in the entire UFC.

Even though we like Blanchfield, we can’t take her moneyline at this number. That’s why we shifted to the method of victory props. It’ll be either a submission or a decision win for the New Yorker. We’re leaning decision because Jasudavicius has never been submitted in her entire career. Blanchfield should get the win on points and the deserved title shot thereafter.

Best Bet: Erin Blanchfield to Win via Decision (-150)

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Alex Murray has been a consistent presence on BettingTop10 since he joined the team in 2020 just after graduating from Ryerson University’s Sport Media program in 2019. He has written for publications including theScore, Sporting News, FanSided, FantasyPros, and more over his 6+ years in the field. Alex has also been a lifelong athlete and sports fan who has channeled that love into his entertaining writing style and shrewd betting strategies.