2026 NFL Futures Betting: How Many Yards Will Your QB Throw For?

How many yards is your favourite team’s QB going to throw for in 2026? How about your fantasy QB? Will they cross the 3,500- or 4,000-yard thresholds this season? Unsurprisingly, you can bet on that. You can bet on anything to do with the NFL these days. Even before the season.

And of course, we are not complaining. Much the opposite. We scoured the passing yards milestones futures betting markets and put together a full betting guide, including the latest NFL betting odds, our best bets, and a fun long-shot dart throw for those that simply have to have those longer-than-long odds.

2026 NFL Passing Yards Milestones Futures Markets: Breakdown & Value Picks - August 19

All odds provided by Betway.

2026 NFL Regular Season Passing Yards Leader - Betting Odds

Player	Odds To Throw 3,500+ Yards	Odds To Throw 4,000+ Yards	Odds To Throw 4,500+ Yards
Jared Goff (DET)	-330	-135	+220
Dak Prescott (DAL)	-300	-110	+275
Joe Burrow (CIN)	-300	-110	+275
Matthew Stafford (LAR)	-260	+120	+360
Brock Purdy (SF)	-200	+135	+450
Drake Maye (NE)	-200	+135	+450
Trevor Lawrence (JAX)	-190	+140	+475
Caleb Williams (CHI)	-160	+185	+600
Patrick Mahomes (KC)	-160	+190	+600
Sam Darnold (SEA)	-160	+185	+600
Josh Allen (BUF)	-145	+190	+700
Justin Herbert (LAC)	-145	+190	+700
Baker Mayfield (TB)	-130	+220	+700
C.J. Stroud (HOU)	-130	+220	+700
Jordan Love (GB)	-115	+250	+850
Bo Nix (DEN)	-110	+250	+850
Tyler Shough (NO)	-105	+250	+850
Daniel Jones (IND)	+130	+425	+1,400
Cam Ward (TEN)	+140	+450	+1,800
Jayden Daniels (WAS)	+140	+450	+1,800

Best Bet #1: Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears - Throw For 4,000 Yards (+185)

The odds on these futures are way out of whack. Only six guys reached 4,000 last year, yet there are 12 QBs with odds under +200 to reach that plateau this season. What are ya gonna do though? Despite that, we were still able to find some value here.

Last year, Caleb Williams was seventh in the league with 3,942 passing yards. It’s about as close as a Bears QB has ever come to hitting the 4,000-yard benchmark. After coming so close, we can’t imagine anything but injury stopping Williams from breaking down that barrier and becoming the first 4,000-yard passer in Bears history.

Best Bet #2: Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys - Throw For 4,500 Yards (+275)

When Dak Prescott is able to play a full regular season campaign, he always puts up gaudy numbers. That means this bet is basically on whether or not he gets injured. Since 2019, when he plays a full complement of games in a season, Prescott has not gone below 4,449 yards. He’s pretty consistent. And now he’s got an extra year with head coach Brian Schottenheimer, which should lead to even more fluid offensive play. Not to mention George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb on the outside making things easy.

Long Shot Dart Throw: Malik Willis, Miami Dolphins - Throw For 4,000 (+800)

The odds on this one should be infinitely longer, but we do think this has a real chance of hitting. Malik Willis to throw for 4,000 yards should certainly not be listed at +800, it should be up near +1,500 or +2,000 considering his situation. But it’s still enough value to take a shot on a guy who has shown a lot of promise and is probably going to be playing the entire season from behind. Lots and lots of opportunity for garbage time yards here.