World Cup 2026: Colombia vs DR Congo Odds, Best Bets & Prediction

Betway odds, current at time of writing and subject to change without notice.

Colombia arrive at their second Group K fixture in a strong position, buoyed by a 3-1 win over Uzbekistan on matchday one. Nestor Lorenzo's side sit top of the group and are already eyeing an early ticket to the next round. The schedule of the group stage at this World Cup now pits them against DR Congo, a stubborn team that held Portugal to a draw on their debut.

On paper, the gap in quality clearly favours the Cafeteros, who are higher ranked and far more experienced at this level. DR Congo, however, lean on a disciplined defensive structure that could make Colombia's task tougher than the odds suggest.

The Colombian side

Top of Group K with three points, Colombia produced a polished display against Uzbekistan, with goals from Daniel Munoz, Luis Diaz and Jaminton Campaz. Our read centres on their midfield control, where James Rodriguez still dictates tempo with ease. That quality in possession is exactly the weapon meant to unlock a deep block.

Recent form is mixed, however. Colombia have won their last two friendlies convincingly, but their two March outings against France and Croatia both ended in defeat. Against a packed defence, the danger for Lorenzo's men is impatience, which points towards a controlled but low-scoring game.

Team news: Colombia have a fully fit squad with no notable absences. Luis Diaz and James Rodriguez remain the creative engine after the opening win over Uzbekistan.

Probable lineup Colombia (4-2-3-1): Vargas; Munoz, Sanchez, Lucumi, Mojica; Lerma, Rios; Arias, James Rodriguez, Diaz; Suarez.

The DR Congo side

On their first ever World Cup appearance, DR Congo made a statement by holding Portugal to a 1-1 draw, with Yoane Wissa scoring the Leopards' first ever goal in the competition. With a point on the board, Sebastien Desabre's side control their own fate and will approach this game without fear. Defensive solidity is their best asset.

The Leopards have conceded just one goal across their last three matches, a figure that reflects the discipline of a block marshalled by captain Chancel Mbemba. Their attack remains the weak point, limited to a goal or less per game recently. If DR Congo can frustrate Colombia and drag the game towards a low total, they can hope for a result, which directly shapes our reading of the goals market.

Team news: DR Congo are also at full strength. Yoane Wissa, who scored their first ever World Cup goal, leads the line alongside veteran Cedric Bakambu.

Probable lineup DR Congo (4-2-3-1): Mpasi; Wan-Bissaka, Mbemba, Tuanzebe, Masuaku; Sadiki, Moutoussamy; Mbuku, Elia; Wissa, Bakambu.

Betway and 888sport odds, correct at the time of writing

We see Colombia winning, but in a tight game. DR Congo's tempo-killing profile and low attacking output steer us towards a narrow scoreline such as 1-0 or 2-0 rather than a rout. The two nations have never met in an official match, so our analysis rests entirely on recent form and tactical profile.

The market puts Colombia at roughly 69% to win (odds of 1.45). Our estimate of 61% reflects DR Congo's ability to lock the game down and Colombia's tendency to stall against deep blocks, a modest but reasonable gap.

In our view, the market underestimates how completely DR Congo's identity is built on killing rhythm, and prices the goal total too high. The implied probability of Under 2.5 goals at 1.65 is around 60.6%, while our estimate sits closer to 62% to 66%. On our Canadian sportsbook comparison, Betway lines up one of the best prices on this market.

Under 2.5 Goals: at odds of 1.68 

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals. DR Congo have scored a goal or less in each of their last five outings and conceded just once in their last three games. That cautious profile, paired with a Colombia side that prefers patient possession to frantic pressing, points to a low-scoring match.

A 1-0 or 2-0 Colombia win lands this bet directly. At 1.68, the price offers better risk and reward than a straight Colombia win at 1.48, which the market has already priced in heavily. Our recommended bet is Under 2.5 goals.