Odds courtesy of TonyBet.
Netherlands vs Greece Odds
The Dutch are a heavy -197 moneyline favorite at soccer betting sportsbooks, while Greece sits at +459. A draw is priced at +350, while the O/U is set at three goals.
The Netherlands and Greece played to a hard-fought 2-2 draw last month, but the hosts have won nine of 12 meetings with Greece.
Netherlands vs Greece Analysis
After a surprising early exit at the 2026 World Cup, the Netherlands have held their own so far in this Nations League campaign. Xavi Hernandez’s men are level on eight points with Greece, but thanks to their superior goal difference, they hold the top spot. The Dutch have beaten Serbia twice, while playing to a 1-1 draw with Germany and also tying Greece 2-2, as previously mentioned.
Mexx Meerdink has been their main man up top, scoring twice in four appearances. With Brian Brobbey having withdrawn from the squad due to injury, more responsibility will fall on Meerdink and Donyell Malen, who is in flying form with Roma. Xavi is also dealing with several other notable injury absences, as we’ll discuss in more detail below.
Greece have been a pleasant surprise in this competition. In what is certainly a difficult group, Ivan Jovanovic’s side have beaten Serbia and Germany while securing draws with the Netherlands and the Germans as well. There’s an exciting crop of young talent in this squad, and they’ve shown clear quality.
Considering they were recently promoted from League B, this team has more than proven they belong at this level. Jovanovic’s men have bagged five goals in four outings while conceding just three, and the fact they managed to keep two clean sheets against Jurgen Klopp’s Germany is ridiculously impressive. Now, they'll look to keep the Netherlands’ versatile attack at bay.
Netherlands vs Greece Injury News
The Netherlands have several notable absentees ahead of Friday's clash, with captain Virgil van Dijk and striker Brian Brobbey withdrawing from the squad due to fitness concerns. Ryan Gravenberch and Kenneth Taylor are also unavailable through injury, while Nathan Ake remains sidelined with a hamstring issue. However, Frenkie de Jong returns to the squad, providing a boost in midfield.
Greece will be without Christos Zafeiris and Manolis Saliakas, who are both suspended due to yellow card accumulation. Giannis Michailidis is also doubtful because of a muscular issue, while Dimitrios Pelkas is dealing with a knee injury and isn't expected to feature.
Netherlands vs Greece Picks
Greece are playing really well, and without a defeat in the Nations League, I expect them to make this another competitive fixture against the Netherlands. With the hosts also missing several key players, I believe Greece can secure another point in Amsterdam. I'll back a draw at plus money.
Pick: Draw +350/TonyBet
