2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Betting Odds Tracker
All betting odds provided by Betway.
| Team | Week 3 Odds | Week 2 Odds | Odds After Week 1 | August Odds | March Odds |
| Jahmyr Gibbs, RB (DET) | +320 | +600 | +500 | +550 | +750 |
| Bijan Robinson, RB (ATL) | +1,400 | +1,000 | +850 | +900 | +850 |
| Ja’Marr Chase, WR (CIN) | +1,500 | +1,400 | +1,400 | +1,000 | +900 |
| Puka Nacua, WR (LAR) | +6,000 | +6,000 | +1,400 | +1,200 | +1,000 |
| Christian McCaffrey, RB (SF) | +3,000 | +3,000 | +2,200 | +1,600 | +1,000 |
| Justin Jefferson, WR (MIN) | +6,000 | +2,200 | +1,400 | +1,600 | +1,400 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR (SEA) | +500 | +800 | +1,800 | +1,800 | +1,200 |
| Derrick Henry, RB (BAL) | +1,600 | +2,000 | +1,400 | +2,000 | +2,000 |
| CeeDee Lamb, WR (DAL) | +2,800 | +2,200 | +2,500 | +2,200 | +1,400 |
| Jonathan Taylor, RB (IND) | +2,800 | +2,200 | +2,000 | +2,200 | +1,800 |
| Saquon Barkley, RB (PHI) | +7,500 | +6,000 | +3,000 | +2,500 | +1,400 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR (DET) | +2,500 | +2,200 | +2,200 | +2,500 | +1,800 |
| James Cook, RB (BUF) | +3,000 | +3,300 | +3,000 | +2,500 | +1,800 |
| Kenneth Walker III, RB (KC) | +750 | +900 | +1,200 | +3,500 | N/A |
| Drake London, WR (ATL) | +5,500 | +6,500 | +6,000 | +4,500 | N/A |
| Brock Bowers, TE (LV) | +5,000 | +8,000 | +8,000 | +6,000 | N/A |
Odds Movement
Jahmyr Gibbs is starting to pull away from the field after back-to-back impressive performances to start this campaign. While his Lions have been one of the bigger disappointments, Gibbs has done nothing to dissuade oddsmakers from the notion that he is the man to beat for this award, racking up 299 scrimmage yards and three TDs in the first two weeks
Last year’s winner Jaxon Smith-Njigba and possibly the most impactful free agent addition through two weeks, Kenneth Walker III, are the other top candidates right now. JSN is looking to become the first back-to-back winner since Marshall Faulk in 2001. Walker, meanwhile, led the league with 290 rush yards through Week 2. Bijan Robinson, Ja’Marr Chase, and Derrick Henry are also in the hunt as the only other guys with odds at or below +2,000.
Preseason Best Value Bet: Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers (+1,600)
We took Gibbs as our best bet back in March, but that was when his odds were a bit more reasonable at +750. Now down at +550, we don’t love the value, though we still think he’s a great shout to win this award. For value though, we look to CMC, whose odds jumped from +1,000 to +1,600 over the course of the offseason.
CMC won this award in 2023 and was a very close second last year, and we think he has a great chance to challenge again. He remains the focal point of what should remain a potent Kyle Shanahan attack in San Francisco, and it looks like the substation is laying off CMC and instead taking down all his teammates this time around. Every healthy season for CMC at this point in his career will be at or near-OPOY level.
Another name we like is Justin Jefferson, who also saw his odds rise to +1,600 from +1,400. Jefferson won this award in 2022, and like CMC, he’s pretty much at an OPOY level whenever he plays a full 17-game campaign. Now that he’s got a proven and quality QB in Kyler Murray back in his huddle, he should challenge for all the big awards again.
Preseason Dark Horse Candidate: De’Von Achane, Miami Dolphins (+6,500)
There’s no doubt in our mind that Dolphins RB De’Von Achane is going to have a massive season for the tanking Fins. That’s the only caveat with this pick: would they give OPOY to the best player on a 3-win team? Probably not.
But that’s probably why his odds have jumped from +2,800 to +6,500 as Miami has offloaded all of its talent and clearly set their sights on a tank job in 2026. If Malik Willis can somehow make them respectable, however, Achane’s gaudy numbers will have to be respected in awards races.
