Odds courtesy of TonyBet.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Odds
The title-holders are a heavy -182 road moneyline favorite at soccer betting sites. Villa is priced as a +520 underdog, giving them an implied win probability of just 16.12%.
Last term, both sides won one game apiece. The Lions shocked Arsenal on home soil in early December 2025 before the North Londoners snatched three points just 24 days later at the Emirates.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Analysis
Aston Villa's summer was full of turnover, with two of their best players leaving the club. Morgan Rogers signed with Chelsea, while Youri Tielemans joined Manchester United. But expectations remained high. After all, they are Europa League winners and a side that will be playing Champions League football. But unfortunately, their campaign got off to a horrendous start against Brighton on the road.
Unai Emery’s backline was ripped apart by the Seagulls, and frankly, they played a tremendously sloppy 90 minutes at the Amex. Two of Brighton’s goals were essentially gifted by Villa, including a Victor Lindelof own goal. Ollie Watkins was also absent from the squad, and he’s on the verge of a move to Saudi Arabia, but the Lions are reportedly signing Chelsea’s Nicolas Jackson as his replacement. Villa is hoping he’ll be registered in time to play against the Gunners.
Arsenal looked very much the part of the Premier League champions last Friday against newly promoted Coventry City. Just 15 minutes in, Kai Havertz opened his account with a tidy finish before Bukayo Saka doubled the Gunners’ lead just eight minutes later. Martin Odegaard then added a third in the second half, helping Arsenal comfortably secure the full points.
Mikel Arteta’s title-winning squad remains essentially intact, with Leandro Trossard departing for Turkey and Bruno Guimarães arriving from Newcastle to give the Spaniard another fantastic player in the middle of the park. Arsenal is deservedly a favorite to lift the Premier League trophy again, and Monday is a clear opportunity to take advantage of a Villa side that has gone through a lot of changes and disappointment in the last week.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Injury News
Aston Villa have several absentees for Monday’s clash. Amadou Onana, Johan Manzambi, Brian Madjo and Leon Bailey are all sidelined, while Tammy Abraham remains a doubt as he works his way back from a groin issue. João Gomes is also unavailable through suspension after being sent off against Brighton.
Arsenal remain without William Saliba and Jurriën Timber, who are recovering from back and groin injuries, respectively. Guimarães is the main question mark after missing the season opener with a groin problem, although Arteta has indicated that the midfielder could be available for the trip to Villa Park.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Picks
Villa looked disastrous on the South Coast, and they’re dealing with a plethora of injuries. Arsenal will be hungry to make up for last season’s defeat on this ground, and the Gunners’ attack should be able to take advantage of a Lions defense that has looked shaky. Lock in the moneyline.
Pick: Arsenal -182 /TonyBet
