NFL Offensive Player of the Year 2026 August Betting Odds Update & Best Bets

Alex Murray
By: Alex Murray
NFL Picks
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Public Domain

Who will be this year’s Offensive Player of the Year in the NFL? The last few winners, including last year’s OPOY, Seattle Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, kind of came out of nowhere, at least as far as NFL betting sites were concerned.

It’s not uncommon for the OPOY to be won by someone with odds above +2,000 during preseason, as JSN did in 2025. With that said, let’s dive into our OPOY futures market betting guide, including the latest odds as well as our best bets and a fun long shot pick!

Highlights

  • Jahmyr Gibbs is the big favorite; he was the 3rd-favorite prior to the 2024 season
  • The last two OPOY winners had preseason odds of +2,200 or longer
  • A QB has not won OPOY since 2018, when Patrick Mahomes won both MVP and OPOY

2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year August Beting Odds & Best Bets

All betting odds provided by Betway.

Team

August OPOY Odds

March OPOY Odds

Jahmyr Gibbs, RB (DET)

+550

+750

Bijan Robinson, RB (ATL)

+900

+850

Ja’Marr Chase, WR (CIN)

+1,000

+900

Puka Nacua, WR (LAR)

+1,200

+1,000

Christian McCaffrey, RB (SF)

+1,600

+1,000

Justin Jefferson, WR (MIN)

+1,600

+1,400

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR (SEA)

+1,800

+1,200

Derrick Henry, RB (BAL)

+2,000

+2,000

CeeDee Lamb, WR (DAL)

+2,200

+1,400

Jonathan Taylor, RB (IND)

+2,200

+1,800

Saquon Barkley, RB (PHI)

+2,500

+1,400

Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR (DET)

+2,500

+1,800

James Cook, RB (BUF)

+2,500

+1,800

A.J. Brown, WR (NE)

+3,500

N/A

Kenneth Walker III, RB (KC)

+3,500

N/A

Nico Collins, WR (HOU)

+3,500

+2,800

Omarion Hampton, RB (LAC)

+3,500

N/A

George Pickens, WR (DAL)

+4,000

N/A

Malik Nabers, WR (NYG)

+4,000

+2,000

Rashee Rice, WR (KC)

+4,500

+2,200

Drake London, WR (ATL)

+4,500

N/A

Brock Bowers, TE (LV)

+6,000

N/A

De’Von Achane, RB (MIA)

+6,500

+2,800

Odds Movement

Let’s start by noting the big odds movement we’ve seen from the time we had our first look at these odds about half a year ago in early March until now in the midst of the final week of preseason.

At the top, Jahmyr Gibbs remains the favourite, though his odds have shrivelled considerably from +750 to +550. Behind him, Bijan Robinson, Ja’Marr Chase, Puka Nacua, Christian McCaffrey, Justin Jefferson, and JSN remain in the top seven, though all six saw their odds rise over the course of the offseason. But they are far from the only ones.

Derrick Henry is now eighth on the odds table even though his odds remained unchanged at +2,000. Five guys who were ahead of him in March saw their odds jacked up over the summer. A few guys have jumped into our top 25, while guys like Malik Nabers, Rashee Rice, and De’Von Achane saw their odds more than double.

So, who’s the best bet on the board right now?

Our Best Value Bet: Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers (+1,600)

We took Gibbs as our best bet back in March, but that was when his odds were a bit more reasonable at +750. Now down at +550, we don’t love the value, though we still think he’s a great shout to win this award. For value though, we look to CMC, whose odds jumped from +1,000 to +1,600 over the course of the offseason.

CMC won this award in 2023 and was a very close second last year, and we think he has a great chance to challenge again. He remains the focal point of what should remain a potent Kyle Shanahan attack in San Francisco, and it looks like the substation is laying off CMC and instead taking down all his teammates this time around. Every healthy season for CMC at this point in his career will be at or near-OPOY level.

Another name we like is Justin Jefferson, who also saw his odds rise to +1,600 from +1,400. Jefferson won this award in 2022, and like CMC, he’s pretty much at an OPOY level whenever he plays a full 17-game campaign. Now that he’s got a proven and quality QB in Kyler Murray back in his huddle, he should challenge for all the big awards again.

Dark Horse Candidate: De’Von Achane, Miami Dolphins (+6,500)

There’s no doubt in our mind that Dolphins RB De’Von Achane is going to have a massive season for the tanking Fins. That’s the only caveat with this pick: would they give OPOY to the best player on a 3-win team? Probably not.

But that’s probably why his odds have jumped from +2,800 to +6,500 as Miami has offloaded all of its talent and clearly set their sights on a tank job in 2026. If Malik Willis can somehow make them respectable, however, Achane’s gaudy numbers will have to be respected in awards races.

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Alex Murray has been a consistent presence on BettingTop10 since he joined the team in 2020 just after graduating from Ryerson University’s Sport Media program in 2019. He has written for publications including theScore, Sporting News, FanSided, FantasyPros, and more over his 6+ years in the field. Alex has also been a lifelong athlete and sports fan who has channeled that love into his entertaining writing style and shrewd betting strategies.