2026 NFL Futures Betting: Receiving Touchdowns Milestones

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Seven guys had 10+ receiving touchdowns last year, which is pretty much in line with recent trends. Will 2026 be more of the same? Or will there be fewer receiving touchdowns? Or will they just be spread out more than usual? We’re doing a deep dive on the bevy of NFL receiving touchdowns milestones futures betting markets on offer.
Read on for our full betting guide including the latest NFL betting odds, a couple of our favourite best bets from across the wide range of options, and a fun long shot pick!
Highlights
- 7 players had 7+ receiving touchdowns in 2026
- 14 players recorded 8+ receiving touchdowns last year
- Since 2020, there have been between 5-8 double-digit receiving TD scorers each year
2026 NFL Receiving Touchdowns Milestones Futures Markets: Breakdown & Value Picks - August 23
odds provided by Betway.
2026 NFL Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns Leader - Betting Odds
| Player | Odds To Record 8+ Receiving TDs | Odds To Record 10+ Receiving TDs | Odds To Record 12+ Receiving TDs |
| Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) | -450 | -140 | +155 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | -280 | -110 | +250 |
| Davante Adams (LAR) | -250 | +105 | +250 |
| Tee Higgins (CIN) | -170 | +155 | +425 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) | -160 | +160 | +400 |
| Puka Nacua (LAR) | -145 | +220 | +600 |
| CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | -110 | +250 | +700 |
| Drake London (ATL) | +110 | +280 | +650 |
| A.J. Brown (NE) | +115 | +300 | +750 |
| Nico Collins (HOU) | +115 | +375 | +850 |
| Courtland Sutton (DEN) | +125 | +325 | +1,200 |
| George Pickens (DAL) | +125 | +325 | +1,200 |
| Justin Jefferson (MIN) | +125 | +320 | +1,000 |
| Brock Bowers (LV) | +130 | +325 | +750 |
| Mike Evans (SF) | +140 | +375 | +1,000 |
| Trey McBride (ARI) | +140 | +375 | +1,000 |
| Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) | +145 | +375 | +1,000 |
| Christian Watson (GB) | +150 | +400 | +1,500 |
| D.J. Moore (BUF) | +150 | +400 | +1,500 |
| Emeka Egbuka (TB) | +150 | +375 | +1,500 |
| Mark Andrews (BAL) | +175 | +375 | +1,600 |
Best Bet #1: Trey McBride, Arizona Cardinals - To Record 10+ Receiving Touchdowns (+140)
Trey McBride created a really good connection with veteran QB Jacoby Brissett last year. And with the Cardinals looking like the tankiest tanking team in a while, we expect Brissett to stay locked in as the starting QB.
That’s going to mean a lot of garbage time stats for the signal caller as well as his favourite target, the big tight end McBride. He was tied for second in the NFL with 11 touchdowns last year, so plus odds on fifth-year man to do the same thing in 2026 were too enticing to ignore. And 10 of those came in Brissett’s 12 starts.
Best Bet #2: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions - To Record 12+ Receiving Touchdowns (+250)
Touchdowns can be a tough stat to predict because of the variance. But Amon-Ra St. Brown has been one of the few very reliable scorers over the last few years, going for 10, 12, and 11 over the last three years.
We expect the Lions offence to be as potent as ever in 2026, and of course the Sun God is going to be a massive part of that. He seems like he’s due for an explosion that sees him lead the league in something after coming so close in so many different categories over the last few years.
Long Shot Dart Throw: Mike Evans, San Francisco 49ers - To Record 12+ Receiving Touchdowns (+1,000)
Before missing half of the 2025 season due to injury, Mike Evans had put up 11+ receiving touchdowns in four of five seasons, including three with 13+. He’s older now, but he’s still got the size that makes him such a great red zone target, and Brock Purdy’s going to have to lean on him a lot with the rest of the receiving corps looking very questionable. Evans has been dealing with a quad strain but is expected to start Week 1.
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