NFL Week 15 Best Player Props Picks NFL Betting Odds

Alex Murray
By:
Alex Murray
16 Dec 23
Betting Magazine
News - NFL
NFL Week 15 Best Player Props Picks NFL Betting Odds

NFL fans were treated to a real stinker on Thursday night for what seems like the millionth time in a row, with the Raiders putting the game to bed before halftime. That means we’re due for some excitement on the Sunday slate! We won’t be looking at moneyline or spread odds, but we’ll be weighing all the best player props from the top NFL betting sites and betting apps.

Highlights

  • Tommy DeVito will have back-to-back big games on the ground
  • CMC will continue running roughshod through this league
  • Puka Nacua and D.K. Metcalf will ball against two of the worst pass defenses in the NFL

NFL Week 15 Sunday Slate Player Props Betting Odds - Sunday, December 17th

All odds provided by Sports Interaction.

Tommy DeVito (NYG) - Over 28.5 Rush Yards (-110) vs. New Orleans Saints

The Giants were having a pretty dark campaign, but hometown kid Tommy DeVito has breathed life back into the franchise with three straight wins. His last outing, a Monday night win over the Green Bay Packers, saw him run all over a Packers defense that has struggled to stop running quarterbacks all year, racking up 71 total rush yards.

The Packers give up the second-most rushing yards to QBs, and who gives up the third-most? That’s right, DeVito’s Week 15 opponent, the New Orleans Saints, who give up about 28 a game in that category, which is right around DeVito’s prop number here.

Last week, Bryce Young, who hasn’t been known to run much this season, went for 40 yards against the Saints. Two weeks before that Desmond Ridder had 30 against them, the week before that Josh Dobbs had 44, and the week before that Tyson Bagent had 70. New Orleans will often get a good push up the middle which forces QBs to scramble, and we expect DeVito to do that early and often in the Big Easy.

Chigoziem Okonkwo (TEN) - Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (-110) vs. Houston Texans

You may be asking, who? Surely, you’re not alone, but trust us on this one. Chigoziem Okonkwo has quietly been having a really nice spell lately, topping 45 yards in his last three games and hitting the over on this prop in five of his last seven outings. He, along with Will Levis and the rest of the passing offense, has been firing on all cylinders over the last couple of weeks.

The team as a whole will be in high spirits after upsetting the Miami Dolphins on Monday night last week as well, which means they’ll be playing with more energy, which is a positive for a bowling ball like Okonkwo. They’ll also be playing the Houston Texans, who have given up the seventh-most passing yards this season.

But it’s not just that they can’t stop the pass, it’s why: they lack the coverage talent at linebacker to take care of tight ends across the middle. Houston gives up 64.5 yards per game to tight ends, third most in the league. That bodes very well for Okonkwo, who is actually second on the team in yards and receptions, believe it or not.

In the past few weeks, the Texans have allowed 57 to Tyler Conklin, 49 to Evan Engram, 43 to Trey McBride, 33 to Tanner Hudson, and 70 to Cade Otton. This Texans team can’t stop tight ends, and Okonkwo has been on fire lately by his standards. He should cover this one handsomely.

Puka Nacua (LAR) - Over 66.5 Receiving Yards (-110) vs. Washington Commanders

Cooper Kupp had a big day against the Ravens last week, but otherwise he’s been very unreliable since his return. Meanwhile, rookie sensation Puka Nacua continues to chug along. He is bouncing back after a midseason lull, having gone for 84 and 105 yards over the last two weeks. He’s also hit the over on this prop in three of his last four.

And why not keep it going? It’s not like the Commanders’ last-ranked pass defense is going to do anything about it. Not to mention that not only is Washington bad against the pass, they’re specifically bad against wide receivers, to whom they give up just a hair shy of 200 yards a game, by far the most in the league.

It’s also worth noting that the Rams are basically playing for their season every week, so they’re going to be coming out hot early. Tyreek Hill had 157, Darius Slayton had 82, D.K. Metcalf had 98, and A.J. Brown had 130 against this defense, and that’s just in the last six weeks. Puka should continue his Cinderella season here.

Christian McCaffrey (SF) - Over 88.5 Rush Yards (-110) vs. Arizona Cardinals

When it comes to reliable players in terms of fantasy football or player prop betting, it doesn’t get much better than Christian McCaffrey, other than maybe Tyreek Hill. He has been a beast all year, and he leads the league in rushing by over 250 yards right now.

He’s only been held below 70 yards four times this year, and those all came during the team’s rough midseason stretch when they had several key offensive injuries. Since then, he has hit the over on this prop in five straight games while averaging 105 yards per contest over that span. Like we said, the guy is a machine.

And this week, he’s going up against an Arizona defense that is giving up over 120 rush yards per game to running backs. Even in their big win against the Steelers a couple of weeks ago, they gave up 130 on the ground. They have allowed 110+ rush yards in eight straight games and haven’t held a team below 90 all year. Considering CMC is a bell cow back, that makes this prop look pretty darn good.

BONUS MNF PROP - D.K. Metcalf (SEA) - Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (-110) vs. Philadelphia Eagles

We’re adding this one in because we just have to get in on the fun of how bad this Eagles secondary has become. They’ve allowed the second-most yards to wide receivers this year, and they’ve given up over 300 yards passing in four of their last six games. Metcalf has topped his number in five of his last eight, so if he can keep his cool and avoid ejection, the over is a great bet here.

Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including stops writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of the lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.