NFL Wild Card Weekend Saturday Betting Picks & Odds - January 10
All odds provided by Bodog.
No. 5 Los Angeles Rams (12-5) @ No. 4 Carolina Panthers (8-9) - 4:30PM (FOX)
We already took the over on Rams starting running back Kyren Williams’ rushing yards prop (64.5) as one of our three best player prop bets of all of Wild Card weekend. But we like the matchup so much, we’re going to go with his backup, Black Corum, for our best bet for this Rams vs. Panthers matchup.
There were a few others we looked at here. Puka Nacua to go for 80 yards at -160 NFL betting odds and Tetairoa McMillan to go for 50 at -155 were both intriguing. But we just can’t ignore how bad that Panthers run defense has been over the last few weeks. Plus, Carolina has been pretty good against the pass, and McMillan has been very inconsistent.
You might think a backup’s volume would be even more erratic, but Corum has seen consistent looks over the last few weeks. He has received double-digit carries in four of the last five games, and he has hit 40+ rushing yards in seven of his last 10 contests. It’s not an even split back there, but Corum’s made it close to 60-40.
Both backs should get a lot of opportunities to run against this struggling Panthers front. Especially if the Rams are leading for much of the game as we expect them to. Carolina has allowed 141 rush yards per game over the last five, sixth-most in the NFL. They have also been susceptible to committees like L.A.’s: in the last three weeks, they’ve allowed five RBs to top 40 rushing yards.
Best Bet: Blake Corum To Record 40+ Rush Yards (-160)
No. 7 Green Bay Packers (9-7-1) @ No. 2 Chicago Bears (11-6) - 8PM (Prime)
If you had one chance to guess which team has given up the most rushing yards in the NFL over the past five weeks, how many guesses would you need before you said the Packers? Green Bay has given up 164.2 rushing yards per game during this recent stretch, a number that would be nearly 20 more than the worst unit in the league across the entire 2025 season.
They allowed 100+ rush yards just once in their first seven games, but have done so in eight of their last 10. That includes 130+ in four of their last five. We love the Bears running backs in this matchup. The only question was which one we should bet on: starter D’Andre Swift, or rookie backup Kyle Monangai.
It was getting pretty close to a 50/50 split, but over the past five games, it’s been a pretty consistent 55-60 percent to 40-45 split in favor of Swift. Over the last three games, Swift has out-carried Monangai 32-23 and outgained him 152-102.
We trust Swift a little more here. He has been consistent this year, rushing for 50+ in nine of his last 12 games, including five of his last six. Swift had exactly 58 in the last matchup with Green Bay, and 63 in the first one of the season.
Best Bet: D’Andre Swift Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
