Noche UFC 4: Jean Silva vs. Jose Delgado Tale of the Tape, Predictions, & Betting Odds

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The UFC created another tradition recently: a celebration of Mexican Independence Day. On September 12, four days before Mexican Independence Day is actually celebrated on September 16, Noche UFC will take place in Glendale, Arizona, the fourth such Mexican-themed event put on by the UFC in as many years.
Unfortunately, the marquee Mexican star that was supposed to headline this fight, Yair Rodriguez, had to step down due to injury. That means we’re getting a headliner between Brazilian Jean Silva and American Jose Delgado. [Text Wrapping Break]Not ideal. But nevertheless, we’re still getting two guys in the top 15 featherweight rankings, and UFC sportsbooks think this one is unlikely to go the distance, which suggests fireworks. Read on for our Silva vs. Delgado tale of the tape, latest betting odds, and predictions!
Highlights
- The main card will start a bit earlier than usual in Glendale at 5 p.m. ET
- Jean Silva is 14-1 in his last 15 fights
- Jose Delgado is 4-1 since earning his spot in the UFC through DWCS
Noche UFC 4: No. 6 Jean Silva vs. No. 15 Jose Delgado Featherweight Main Event Bout - September 12 - 5 P.M. EDT
All odds provided by Powerplay.
Tale of the Tape:
| Category | Jean Silva | Jose Delgado |
| Height | 5’7” (1.70 m) | 5’11” (1.80 m) |
| Weight | 145 lbs (66 kg) | 146 lbs (66 kg) |
| Reach | 69” (175 cm) | 74.0” (188 cm) |
| Age | 29 | 28 |
| Nickname | Lord | N/A |
| Fighting Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Significant Strikes Landed/Minute | 4.82 | 6.07 |
| Strikes Absorbed/Minute | 4.50 | 4.18 |
| Takedown Average | 1.20 | 1.37 |
| Takedown Defense | 79 % | 63 % |
| Current Ranking | No. 6 | No. 15 |
| Fighting Out Of | Sao Paulo, Brazil | Phoenix, Arizona, United States |
Fight Analysis & Prediction
No. 6 Jean Silva vs. No. 15 Jose Delgado Featherweight Main Event Betting Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Spread | Rounds | Win by Decision | Win by KO/TKO/DQ | Win by Submission | Go the Distance |
| Jean Silva | -425 | -5.5 (-290) | O2.5 (+105) | +450 | -150 | +650 | Yes (+310) |
| Jose Delgado | +325 | +5.5 (+220) | U2.5 (-135) | +1,000 | +650 | +1,400 | No (-440) |
Jean Silva (17-3) is on his way back towards title contention at 145 pounds after his solid win over Arnold Allen in January. Subbing in against him for the injured Yair Rodriguez will be Jose Delgado (12-2), a 2025 UFC addition that has already fought five times for the promotion, going 4-1.
However, that 4-1 record is not really what it seems. Delgado has shown some impressive sparks, but he’s also had some rough moments even in his wins. Austin Bashi, more of a wrestler, even dropped him in his last fight, which Bashi easily could’ve won but went to Delgado as a unanimous decision.
That’s worrying, but the thing is Silva has been priced as a prohibitive favourite here, making it tough to justify any Silva bet with any kind of value right now. It’s in moments like these that we turn to total round betting.
This one is priced as an early finisher, but we think it will go longer than expected. Delgado’s last three fights have all gone to the scorecards as he starts taking on better quality opposition. Same goes for Silva, who has just one first round finish in his last six bouts after having eight in the nine fights before that.
Best Bet: Over 2.5 Rounds (+105)
T&Cs Apply
Alex Murray has been a consistent presence on BettingTop10 since he joined the team in 2020 just after graduating from Ryerson University’s Sport Media program in 2019. He has written for publications including theScore, Sporting News, FanSided, FantasyPros, and more over his 6+ years in the field. Alex has also been a lifelong athlete and sports fan who has channeled that love into his entertaining writing style and shrewd betting strategies.

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