Odds courtesy of TonyBet.
Real Madrid vs Malaga Odds
Unsurprisingly, Los Blancos are a massive -834 favorite at soccer betting sites. That gives them an implied win probability of 89.29%. Malaga, meanwhile, is priced as a long +2000 underdog. The total is set at 3.5 goals.
Real Madrid have never lost at the Santiago Bernabéu against Malaga.
Real Madrid vs Malaga Analysis
Mourinho’s tenure in the Spanish capital is off to a delightful start, with Los Blancos running riot on their opponents. As previously mentioned, the club beat Espanyol by a goal on matchday one before smashing Real Sociedad by three goals earlier this week in their home debut. Kylian Mbappe was the star of the show, bagging a hat-trick at the Bernabeu, while strike partner Vinicius Junior also found the back of the net.
While possession was essentially even, Real’s attack was overwhelming for the visitors, registering 11 shots on target and 20 in total. Jude Bellingham also put in another phenomenal shift on both ends of the pitch, notching a pair of assists. Malaga shouldn’t pose any threat to Madrid, and frankly, Real’s frontline should cause serious issues for the visitors.
Malaga are back in the top flight for the first time since 2016-17 after a long stint in the second division. The club finished in fourth place last term in LaLiga 2, earning the final promotion spot through the playoffs. Life in the top division hasn’t been great so far, losing to Atletico in their season opener before a draw with Deportivo on Monday.
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang opened the scoring for the visitors before Malaga drew level from the penalty spot just 13 minutes later, courtesy of Chupe. Malaga certainly looked like the more dangerous side in the final third with 13 shots, but they managed to put just two on target. Now the club faces the difficult task of traveling to the Bernabeu and trying to secure a result, but it will undoubtedly be a 90-minute grind.
Real Madrid vs Malaga Injury News
Real Madrid remain without several first-team players heading into Sunday’s clash. Rodrygo is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury, while Ferland Mendy is nearing a return from a ligament issue. Eder Militao has resumed training following a serious hamstring injury but is not expected back until after the upcoming international break. Raul Asencio, Thiago Pitarch, Endrick, and Aurelien Tchouameni are also unavailable.
Malaga also have a lengthy injury list. Adriano Nino remains out with a thigh problem, while Diego Murillo continues to recover from a cruciate ligament injury. Fernando Calero is sidelined with a broken rib, and Moussa Diarra is unavailable due to a soleus injury in his right leg. Aaron Ochoa is also set for an extended spell on the sidelines after suffering a torn meniscus that requires surgery.
Real Madrid vs Malaga Picks
Malaga is still adjusting to life in La Liga, and Madrid have looked nothing short of outstanding under Mourinho. With the moneyline offering minimal value, I like the hosts to win to nil, especially considering Madrid have conceded only twice so far.
Pick: Real Madrid win to nil (-130)/TonyBet
