UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja Predictions & Betting Odds

Alex Murray
By: Alex Murray
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UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja Predictions & Betting Odds

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The UFC is back in Los Angeles this weekend. That may not seem like a big deal, but it is. The promotion hasn’t been to the City of Angels since 2018. The main card for UFC 331 gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday night at Crypto.com Arena, and it ends with a massive flyweight matchup as the headliner.

In the main event, flyweight champion Joshua Van (17-2) will look to beat Alexandre Pantoja (30-6) for real after their first matchup ended early due to an injury. Can Pantoja reclaim the belt he had from 2023-2025, or will Van prove he deserves to wear the flyweight strap? Read on for our tale of the tape, UFC betting odds, and our best bet for the fight!

Highlights

  • Alexandre Pantoja has not fought since his arm injury against Joshua Van in December 2025
  • Van has won three of his last four fights via TKO stoppage
  • Van is a whopping 12 years younger than Pantoja

UFC 331: Joshua Van vs. Alexandre Pantoja Flyweight Championship Main Event Bout - September 19 - 9 P.M. EDT

All odds provided by Powerplay.

Tale of the Tape:

CategoryJoshua VanAlexandre Pantoja
Height5’5” (1.65 m)5’5” (1.65 m)
Weight125 lbs (57 kg)125 lbs (57 kg)
Reach65” (175 cm)68.0” (173 cm)
Age2436
NicknameThe FearlessThe Cannibal
Fighting StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
Significant Strikes Landed/Minute8.434.38
Strikes Absorbed/Minute5.823.88
Takedown Average0.822.79
Takedown Defense76 %69 %
Current RankingChampNo. 1
Fighting Out OfHouston, Texas, U.S.Arraial do Cabo, Brazil

Fight Analysis & Prediction

( C ) Joshua Van vs. No. 1 Alexandre Pantoja Flyweight Championship Main Event Betting Odds

FighterMoneylineSpreadRoundsWin by DecisionWin by KO/TKO/DQWin by SubmissionGo the Distance
Joshua Van-130-5.5 (+122)O3.5 (+100)+375+175+1,650Yes (+150)
Alexandre Pantoja+110+5.5 (-155)U3.5 (-130)+425+1,000+270No (-190)

The first time these two met, it was Alexandre Pantoja who was defending the flyweight title and Joshua Van who came in as the challenger. Unfortunately, Pantoja dislocated his arm during an innocuous exchange just 30 seconds into that fight.

The 36-year-old Brazilian has not fought since that fateful day in December 2025 as he recovers from what everyone saw to be a pretty gruesome freak injury. Van, however, has kept busy, burnishing his champion credentials with a dominant fifth-round TKO win over Tatsuro Taira in May.

That Van-Taira fight was a Fight of the Night scrap, and it proved that Van wasn’t lucky to be wearing the belt. What was most impressive was Van’s ability to keep Taira on the feet and avoid any takedowns. And if the young, strong Japanese fighter couldn’t do it, we don’t really see how the aging Pantoja will do it. The strength might not be there anymore.

And if it does stay on the feet, it’s no contest. Van is one of the best boxers in the UFC full-stop. Pantoja is alright in the stand up, but his biggest strengths are in his jiu-jitsu and ground work.

Van should be able to piece Pantoja up and use his above average defence to avoid any big shots coming the other way. He’ll show everyone that despite being just 24 years old, he’s the best at 125 pounds right now.

Best Bet: Joshua Van Moneyline (-130)

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Alex Murray has been a consistent presence on BettingTop10 since he joined the team in 2020 just after graduating from Ryerson University’s Sport Media program in 2019. He has written for publications including theScore, Sporting News, FanSided, FantasyPros, and more over his 6+ years in the field. Alex has also been a lifelong athlete and sports fan who has channeled that love into his entertaining writing style and shrewd betting strategies.