2025 OKC Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers NBA Finals MVP Betting Odds & Analysis - June 5
All odds provided by Sports Interaction.
2025 NBA Finals MVP Betting Odds
| Player (Team) | Finals MVP Odds |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) | -550 |
| Tyrese Haliburton (IND) | +700 |
| Pascal Siakam (IND) | +2,000 |
| Jalen Williams (OKC) | +3,300 |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | +7,500 |
| Myles Turner (IND) | +36,000 |
| Aaron Nesmith (IND) | +50,000 |
| Andrew Nembhard (IND) | +50,000 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) | +50,000 |
| Lu Dort (OKC) | +50,000 |
| Alex Caurso (OKC) | +50,000 |
| Aaron Wiggins (OKC) | +100,000 |
| Obi Toppin (OKC) | +100,000 |
| Bennedict Mathurin (IND) | +100,000 |
| T.J. McConnell (IND) | +100,000 |
| Isaiah Joe (OKC) | +100,000 |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | +100,000 |
The Favorite: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (-550)
There has only ever been one player to win NBA Finals MVP despite his team losing the series, and that was Jerry West way back in 1969. Considering the Thunder are massive favorites to win this series, that makes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander a very logical favorite to win Finals MVP.
Since 1970, players that have won NBA MVP, like SGA did this year, and made it to the Finals in the same year have gone 19-6. 15 of those guys also won the Finals MVP trophy in the same year, which makes SGA’s odds look very reasonable, if frustratingly short.
He has been scoring 30 points a night more often than not this season. If he does that again and the Thunder win, which are both very likely scenarios, he will make good on the -550 odds NBA betting sites are giving him. But are there any upset candidates worth looking at?
Real Contenders From the Field: Tyrese Haliburton (+700) & Pascal Siakam (+2,000)
The best chance for the field to win is for the Thunder to lose in the Finals, which would take a Herculean effort from both Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam, the latter of whom won the Eastern Conference Finals MVP last week.
Haliburton had just one bad game in that series, but that still cost him the award. If the Pacers do upset the Thunder, it will most definitely be on Haliburton’s back. Plus, we think the voters will feel they kind of owe him one after he easily could have won the Eastern Finals MVP that went to Siakam.
The Cameroonian hooper had a few scoring explosions last round, but he also had a few where he scored under 20. Haliburton does more all-around and he is the team’s leader, so if you’re going to bet against SGA, Haliburton is without a doubt the smartest option.
Long Shots to Consider
If you’re looking to take a wild swing on a long shot, there are definitely a few to consider. Probably too many, which is why they’re all such long shots. This NBA Finals is a matchup of the two deepest teams in the NBA playoff field.
But the one that stands out in terms of the value his odds are offering and the real game impact he is able to have is Thunder big man Chet Holmgren. He’s way up at +7,500, which means over twice the value that teammate Jalen Williams is offering.
Holmgren’s size in the paint could really cause problems for the Pacers, who will likely try to counter him with Siakam and Myles Turner. Turner racks up blocks, but he’s not a shutdown defender, as Karl-Anthony Towns proved in the East Finals.
If Holmgren can dominate in the paint on offense, average a double double-double, and rack up 3+ blocks a game (he has had 3+ in six of 16 games, hence the long shot moniker) he could give voters a tougher decision than they expected. And at +7,500 odds, why not throw a dollar or two down.
