2025 Players To Throw For 30+ TDs Futures Markets: Breakdown & Value Picks - August 24
All odds provided by Sports Interaction.
2025 Players To Throw For 30+ TDs Futures Markets - Betting Odds
|
Player (Team)
|
Odds To Throw For 30+ TDs
|
Odds To Throw For 35+ TDs
|
Odds To Throw For 40+ TDs
|
|
Joe Burrow (CIN)
|
-300
|
+115
|
+300
|
|
Baker Mayfield (TB)
|
-110
|
+250
|
+650
|
|
Jared Goff (DET)
|
+120
|
+320
|
+750
|
|
Lamar Jackson (BAL)
|
+120
|
+320
|
+750
|
|
Patrick Mahomes (KC)
|
+150
|
+375
|
+850
|
|
Josh Allen (BUF)
|
+160
|
+425
|
+1,000
|
|
Dak Prescott (DAL)
|
+220
|
+500
|
+1,200
|
|
J.J. McCarthy (MIN)
|
+320
|
+650
|
+1,600
|
|
Jordan Love (GB)
|
+320
|
+650
|
+1,600
|
|
Bo Nix (DEN)
|
+360
|
+700
|
+2,200
|
|
Brock Purdy (SF)
|
+360
|
+700
|
+2,200
|
|
Aaron Rodgers (PIT)
|
+400
|
+800
|
+2,800
|
|
Matthew Stafford (LAR)
|
+400
|
+800
|
+2,800
|
|
Trevor Lawrence (JAX)
|
+400
|
+1,200
|
+4,000
|
|
Jayden Daniels (WAS)
|
+425
|
+850
|
+3,000
|
|
Caleb Williams (CHI)
|
+450
|
+900
|
+3,500
|
|
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)
|
+450
|
+900
|
+3,500
|
|
Justin Herbert (LAC)
|
+475
|
+1,000
|
+4,000
|
|
C.J. Stroud (HOU)
|
+600
|
+1,400
|
+4,000
|
|
Kyler Murray (ARI)
|
+800
|
+1,800
|
+5,000
|
|
Geno Smith (LV)
|
+850
|
+2,000
|
+5,000
|
|
Cam Ward (TEN)
|
+1,000
|
+2,500
|
+6,000
|
|
Drake Maye (NE)
|
+1,000
|
+2,500
|
+6,000
|
|
Jalen Hurts (PHI)
|
+1,000
|
+2,500
|
+6,000
|
|
Sam Darnold (SEA)
|
+1,000
|
+2,200
|
+5,000
|
|
Michael Penix Jr. (ATL)
|
+1,400
|
+3,000
|
+6,000
|
|
Bryce Young (CAR)
|
+1,800
|
+4,000
|
+8,000
|
|
Justin Fields (NYJ)
|
+3,000
|
+6,000
|
+10,000
|
Joe Burrow (CIN) - 35+ TD Passes (+115): He threw 43 last year to lead the league, and Joe Burrow also threw 35 in 2022 and 34 in 2021. It’s clear that range is his floor when he plays a full season, so we’re just counting on his health. And with the array of weapons he’s got for the 2025 season, he might throw for even more than he did last year.
Baker Mayfield (TB) - 35+ TD Passes (+250): Baker Mayfield had 28 TDs in 2023 in his first year in Tampa Bay, and it seems like he’s going to continue climbing the ladder. Apart from Burrow, this is the only guy that threw for over 40 TD passes in 2024. Mike Evans, Cade Otton, and rookie Emeka Egbuka are all big-bodied red zone threats, so Mayfield should have a field day in 2025.
Patrick Mahomes - 35+ TD Passes (+375): We’re very bullish on Patrick Mahomes’ prospects for the 2025 season. He has been quiet in the regular season the last two years, but that embarrassing Super Bowl loss will have lit a fire under him. He’ll be back to the numbers he was putting up between 2018-2022 when he averaged 38.4 TD passes per year, only going below 37 once.
Best Long Shot:
- Bryce Young (CAR) - 30+ TD Passes (+1,800): Bryce Young finished last season very encouragingly with 15 TD passes in his final 10 starts. That’s just over 25 TDs stretched across an entire season. With two first-round receivers in the mix and veteran Adam Thielen still contributing, we love this one considering the massive betting odds we’re getting on most sportsbooks.
