2025 NFL Futures Betting: NFC North Over/Under Win Totals Predictions

Alex Murray
By: Alex Murray
Aug 13, 2025
NFL Picks
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We continue our series looking at one of the favorites among NFL futures bettors: over/under win totals. Sportsbooks generally offer 1-3 numbers (ie: over/under 10.5 wins) for each team, with odds for them to go over or under each number. Because of all those variables, we’re doing this by division.

Like the AFC West, the NFC North division has four teams with legitimate playoff aspirations in 2025. All four could theoretically make it, but we haven’t seen that yet in this 14-team postseason era. We predict how many games each team in the division can expect to win based on their schedules below.

Highlights

  • The NFC North has by far the highest collective strength of schedule in the NFL
  • The Lions play nine different playoff teams from 2024
  • Despite a 5-12 record last year, Chicago is tied for the 2nd-toughest schedule

2025 NFC North Over/Under Win Totals Futures Market: Breakdown & Value Picks - August 13

All odds provided by Betway.

2025 NFC North Over/Under Win Totals - Betting Odds

Team2025 Strength of Schedule (Rank)Win Total #1 (Over/Under)Win Total #2 (Over/Under)Win Total #3 (Over/Under)
Detroit Lions.571 (t-30th)9.5 (-170/+140)10.5 (+100/-130)11.5 (+200/-250)
Green Bay Packers.557 (t-26th)8.5 (-170/+140)9.5 (-105/-115)10.5 (+160/-200)
Minnesota Vikings.557 (t-26th)7.5 (-280/+215)8.5 (-150/+120)9.5 (+100/-130)
Chicago Bears.571 (t-30th)7.5 (-160/+130)8.5 (+125/-155)9.5 (+200/-250)

Detroit Lions: The Detroit Lions are going to be a top team in the league this year, but boy, do they have a tough schedule. The second-toughest in the league, in fact. But we’ll give them four wins out of six in their division. After that, a 2-2 record against the AFC North seems likely considering they play the Ravens and Bengals on the road.

In the NFC East, they should go at least 3-1, and a road upset over Philly isn’t out of the question either. Their remaining three games come against the Chiefs, Bucs, and Rams. They should win two out of three there to get to 11. However, with nine playoff teams on their docket, we’re gonna play it safe with the Lions here.

Best Bet: Detroit Lions Over 9.5 Wins (-170)

Green Bay Packers: We’re probably in the tiny minority here considering online sportsbooks are handicapping this team as the second-best in the NFC North, but we think the Packers might be the worst team in this division. With that in mind, we’ll give them a 2-4 divisional record.

They should get two wins from the NFC East, and we’re taking them for two more against the AFC North, though much less confidently. That’s six wins. If they can beat the Panthers, Broncos, and the Cardinals, that gives them nine, but we’re not sure they’ll sweep that trifecta anyway.

Best Bet: Green Bay Packers Under 9.5 Wins (-115)

Minnesota Vikings: If J.J. McCarthy is even half-decent, this team is going to be really, really good. They’ve got an elite offensive line that was juiced up this offseason, dynamic skill position players, and Brian Flores has that defense looking a fright. We’ll give them a 3-3 record in the division. The Vikings are lucky because two of their “road games” that would otherwise be in outdoor stadiums (Pittsburgh and Cleveland) will be played in Europe, where Minnesota is a perfect 4-0.

We think they can outgun the Bengals at home as well for three AFC North wins. They could also get three wins from four against the NFC East, as they get the Commanders at home. That’s nine already. Their remaining three are vs. ATL, @ LAC, and @ SEA and we think they should get at least one, if not two more wins from that bucket.

Best Bet: Minnesota Vikings Over 9.5 Wins (+100)

Chicago Bears: The Bears have got the coach, and their offseason moves were careful and considered. It’s just unfortunate they got the second-toughest schedule in the league despite a 5-12 record last season. The Bears haven’t had a winning record in the division for some time, but they’ll be better, so we’ll give them a 3-3 mark.

In the NFC East they can beat the Cowboys and the Giants. In the AFC North, it might just be the Browns. That’s six wins. Then they go on the road to the Raiders, at home for the Saints, and on the road to the 49ers. That’s tough. We think they get only one win from three there. If they’d had a luckier draw on those last three games, we would have taken them to finish with a winning record, but as it stands, we’re not sure how they’ll fare in those tougher road games.

Best Bet: Chicago Bears Under 8.5 Wins (-155)/Betway

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Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of their lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.