2025 NFL Futures Betting: Will Your QB Throw For 4,000 Yards This Year?

The 2025 NFL season is right around the corner ladies and gentlemen. Start your futures engines. We’ve covered a ton of team futures over the last couple of weeks, so now we switch back to individual player futures betting markets. This time, we’re looking at the most prolific passers in the NFL.

After covering the NFL betting odds for running backs and receivers to reach 1,000 yards, we move to the milestones for passers: 3,500 yards, 4,000, and 4,500. Each of the top 28 QBs in the league - the Saints, Giants, Browns, and Colts had no QBs on the board - have varying odds to reach each of those benchmarks, and we’re pinpointing the best value picks! We’ll throw in a fun long shot as well.

2025 Players To Throw For 4,000+ Yards Futures Markets: Breakdown & Value Picks - August 22

All odds provided by Sports Interaction.

2025 Players To Throw For 4,000+ Yards Futures Markets - Betting Odds

Dak Prescott (DAL) - Over 4,000 Yards (+120): To reach 4,000 passing yards in 17 games, a QB has to average 235 yards a game. If they miss one, they have to average 250. Dak Prescott has averaged over 235 a game in every season since 2018, and in his three most recent seasons playing 16+ games he has gone for 4,516, 4,449, and 4,902 yards. And he might have the best receiving corps of his career in 2025.

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) - Over 3,500 Yards (+170): The Steelers haven’t thrown for over 3,500 yards in a season since Big Ben’s last year in 2021. But since then the Steelers have started Kenny Pickett, Mitch Trubisky, Mason Rudolph, over-the-hill Russell Wilson, and Justin Fields. Say what you will about Aaron Rodgers, but he’s better than that lot. Even at 41 years old. He had about 3,900 yards last year, and he has never thrown for under 3,600 in every season where he started 15+ games. If Pittsburgh can keep him upright, this is a lock.

Patrick Mahomes (KC) - Over 4,500 Yards (+300): We’re very high on Patrick Mahomes this year. He had a down year last year and still had about 4,000 in 16 games. We think he’ll have to play all 17 this year in a tough AFC West. Once upon a time, he averaged 4,791 yards a year from 2018-2022. We think he’s getting back to that regular season level this season.

Best Long Shot:

• Baker Mayfield (TB) - Over 4,500 Yards (+600): Baker Mayfield had 4,500 yards on the dot last year, so these odds are offering a ton of value. He had all of his top wideouts injured or out last season, too. Now they’re back, (Chris Godwin in October) and they’ve added a first-round WR in Emeka Egbuka. That passing attack is going to be a juggernaut.