2026 NFL MVP Way Too Early Betting Odds & Best Bets

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With Super Bowl 60 now in the rearview mirror, us NFL junkies can get on to bigger and better things: the very, very early odds for the major prizes for next NFL season. Betting sites put out odds for the 2026 NFL season almost immediately after the final whistle blows on the previous year’s Super Bowl.
In 2025, the MVP race was as tight as it could possibly be, with Drake Maye losing by one vote to Matthew Stafford. The debate about that rages on for some, but we’re on to the next thing here. Read on as we take a look at the odds table for the 2026 NFL MVP while also providing you with our favorite bet on the board as well as a fun dark horse candidate,
Highlights
- Bills QB Josh Allen is the favorite to win his second NFL MVP award
- Last year’s MVP, Matthew Stafford, is down in 8th on the odds board
- Caleb Williams blossomed along with his Chicago Bears in 2025
NFL MVP 2026 Way Too Early Betting Odds & Best Bets
All betting odds provided by Betway.
| Team | NFL MVP 2026 Odds |
| Josh Allen, QB (BUF) | +550 |
| Lamar Jackson, QB (BAL) | +750 |
| Drake Maye, QB (NE) | +800 |
| Justin Herbert, QB (LAC) | +1,000 |
| Joe Burrow, QB (CIN) | +1,000 |
| Patrick Mahomes, QB (KC) | +1,200 |
| Dak Prescott, QB (DAL) | +1,400 |
| Matthew Stafford, QB (LAR) | +1,400 |
| Jordan Love, QB (GB) | +1,600 |
| Trevor Lawrence, QB (JAX) | +1,600 |
| Caleb Williams, QB (CHI) | +1,600 |
| Brock Purdy, QB (SF) | +1,800 |
| Jayden Daniels, QB (WAS) | +2,200 |
| Sam Darnold, QB (SEA) | +2,800 |
| Jalen Hurts, QB (PHI) | +3,300 |
| Bo Nix, QB (DEN) | +3,300 |
The Favorite: Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills (+550)
It feels like Josh Allen is the favorite to win the MVP every year before the season starts—and that’s because he is. This marks the fifth straight year that the Bills QB has been top 2 on the odds table for the award prior to the season. He has also been top five in MVP voting in each of those campaigns, winning the award in 2024. Allen posted 3,668 pass yards, 25 pass TDs, and a 100+ passer rating to go with 579 yards and 14 TDs on the ground in 2025.
Our Best Bet: Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills (+550)
We don’t generally like to go with the favorite as our best bet: not only does the favorite rarely go on to win the award, but Allen’s +550 odds also don’t offer a ton of value considering this is a bet you’ll have to sit on for a year. But a win is a win, and we believe Allen is set up for his second MVP in three years.
The Patriots are likely to falter after their surprise success last season, so Allen’s Bills will be in contention for the No. 1 seed in the AFC again. Allen also doesn’t have a lot of big names supporting him on offense, which is a plus. A shake up at head coach, where Allen’s guy Joe Brady got promoted, will also lead to a boost in Allen’s production in our opinion.
Dark Horse Candidate: Caleb Williams, QB, Chicago Bears (+1,600)
If you want more palatable odds, we give you Caleb Williams. He and his Bears took a massive leap last year, and it did not seem like a fluke. Williams is capable of signature moments that stick in an MVP voter’s mind, and his stats are none too shabby either. Williams was unable to become Chicago’s first-ever 4,000-yard passer, but he fell just about 50 yards short. He also had an excellent 27-7 TD-INT ratio and a league-leading six game-winning drives. Signature moments. He’s also a capable and exciting runner, putting up nearly 400 yards on the ground to go with three more scores.
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Alex Murray has been a consistent presence on BettingTop10 since he joined the team in 2020 just after graduating from Ryerson University’s Sport Media program in 2019. He has written for publications including theScore, Sporting News, FanSided, FantasyPros, and more over his 6+ years in the field. Alex has also been a lifelong athlete and sports fan who has channeled that love into his entertaining writing style and shrewd betting strategies.

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