Odds provided by TonyBet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Odds
| Player | Odds |
| Aryna Sabalenka | -278 |
| Coco Gauff | +215 |
Sabalenka is a heavy -278 moneyline favorite at tennis betting sportsbooks. Gauff returns as a +215 underdog. Sabalenka is also favored at -110 to win in two sets.
These two are very familiar with each other. They’ve met a total of 12 times, notching six wins apiece. Sabalenka came out victorious in their last meeting in 2025 in the WTA Finals in Riyadh, while Gauff beat the Belarusian in the 2025 French Open Final.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Analysis
Sabalenka continues to be one of the most dominant players on the WTA Tour, sitting as the top seed in the world. She’s already won two titles in this young season while compiling a 22-1 record. Sabalenka is looking for her second straight trophy, having just won the title in Indian Wells earlier this month, where she also defeated Rybakina.
That’s now twice where she’s taken down the Kazakhstan-born superstar, who just barely beat Sabalenka in the first Major of the year, the Aussie Open. Sabalenka’s serve proved to be key in the Miami Open semis on Thursday, registering nine aces. She also won 83% of her first serve points, simply overpowering Rybakina. Sabalenka has yet to drop a set in Miami.
Gauff is currently the fourth ranked player on the globe, but it hasn’t been the best start to the campaign for her. This is the first time this year that Gauff has made it past the semifinals of any tournament, and she was bounced in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open. Indian Wells wasn’t great either, exiting in the Round of 32 due to an nerve injury in her arm.
But, Gauff has looked solid in Miami, and she is now staring down the opportunity to win her first title of ‘26. The 22-year-old has had to earn every single victory in this tournament, going three sets in all but one match – the semifinal. Gauff ran riot on Muchova, winning 6-1, 6-1. Playing on home soil should give Gauff a bit of an advantage here, but anything less than her best won’t be enough to beat an opponent as terrific as Sabalenka.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Picks
While Gauff may have had to play more difficult opponents in the Miami Open, Sabalenka is on quite the run at the moment. However, I do see the American giving the No. 1 ranked player in the world a serious run for her money. It’ll go three sets.
Pick: Over 2.5 sets (+160)/TonyBet
