Bills vs. Broncos NFL Divisional Round Betting Odds, Picks, & Props

Alex Murray
By: Alex Murray
NFL Picks
Public Domain Mark 1.0 Universal

Public Domain Mark 1.0 Universal

The NFL put on an absolute show on Wild Card weekend with four absolute gems out of six games. With four games on the docket for the Divisional Round, can the drama be matched? It all starts on Saturday afternoon.

That’s when the first matchup of the weekend takes place between the Buffalo Bills and the Denver Broncos. Despite earning the No. 1 seed in the AFC and the bye that comes with it, the 14-3 Broncos are only very slight favorites over the 12-5 Bills. Can Josh Allen and company pull off another upset? Read on for our NFL betting picks and top player props for the matchup at Mile High.

Highlights

  • Josh Allen is 11-3 all-time against the AFC West, his best against any division
  • The Broncos have not had a quality win in over a month
  • Allen has rushed for a TD in 5 of his last 7 playoff games

NFL Divisional Round - Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos - Saturday, Jan. 17 at 430PM (CBS)

All odds provided by Betway.

TeamMoneylinePoint SpreadOver/Under
Buffalo Bills-102+1.5 (-110)O46.5 (-110)
Denver Broncos-116-1.5 (-110)U46.5 (-110)

Bills vs. Broncos Game Prediction

The Buffalo Bills have only one advantage in this game, and that’s at quarterback. Josh Allen is the only reason for anyone to bet on this makeshift Bills roster instead of this deep Broncos unit. But that’s enough. The NFL is a quarterback league, and Allen is the best one left in this playoff bracket.

Allen proved his worth last week in leading not only his first game-winning drive in the playoffs, but doing so as part of his first ever road playoff win. That takes a lot of the edge out of this game, especially considering Allen’s notable success against the AFC West during his career. Of all eight divisions in the league, his 79 winning percentage (11-3) against the AFC West is the highest.

Let’s not forget, Allen and the Bills took care of business against a very similar Broncos team last year, beating Bo Nix and the boys 31-7 on that day. Denver may also have some real rust for this one: they won their last two games of the season, but those came against a rested Chargers team and a Chris Oladokun-led Chiefs unit.

They were also humbled by the same Jags team that Buffalo just dispatched at home. It’s been over a month since their impressive win over the Packers in mid-December. And even that isn’t looking so great following recent developments.

It is certainly not lost on Josh Allen that this may be his best ever chance at a ring. No Burrow, no Lamar, no Mahomes. He is locked in, and we think he’s going to use that knowledge of this wide open field to push himself to new heights. All aboard the Josh Allen train.

Best Bet: Buffalo Bills Moneyline (-102)

Bills vs. Broncos Player Prop Best Bet

PlayerAnytime TD Odds
R.J. Harvey, RB (DEN)-135
James Cook, RB (BUF)-105
Josh Allen, QB (BUF)-105
Courtland Sutton, WR (DEN)+200
Khalil Shakir, WR (BUF)+230
Dalton Kincaid, TE (BUF)+290
Bo Nix, QB (DEN)+310
Troy Franklin, WR (DEN)+320
Pat Bryant, WR (DEN)+340
Evan Engram TE (DEN)+390

The Jaguars gave up just five rushing TDs to opposing QBs all season. Josh Allen scored two in the Wild Card round. We think he is a man on a mission, and if the Bills get the ball near the goal line, Allen is going to hear his name called like it was in Duval.

He has scored a rushing TD in six of his last 10 games, and he has also rushed for a TD in five of eight playoff games since the 2022 postseason. If the Bills are going to do what we think they are and pull off the upset, they’re going to need a big game from their Superman. And we’ve already seen what their attitude is in short-yardage situations during these playoffs: give it to 17.

Best Bet: Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-105)

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Alex Murray has been a consistent presence on BettingTop10 since he joined the team in 2020 just after graduating from Ryerson University’s Sport Media program in 2019. He has written for publications including theScore, Sporting News, FanSided, FantasyPros, and more over his 6+ years in the field. Alex has also been a lifelong athlete and sports fan who has channeled that love into his entertaining writing style and shrewd betting strategies.