Champions League: Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Odds, Analysis, & Picks

Quinn Allen
By: Quinn Allen
Nov 05, 2025
Soccer Picks
Photo courtesy of Smabs Sputzer (Flickr), CC by 2.0

Photo courtesy of Smabs Sputzer (Flickr), CC by 2.0

Erling Haaland will be looking to do damage against his ex-employers on Wednesday as Manchester City plays host to Borussia Dortmund in Champions League matchday four action. The kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET at the Etihad Stadium. City is coming off a dominant victory over the weekend against Bournemouth, and they’ve yet to taste defeat in Europe. BVB is in the same boat, and they also grabbed a victory in their last fixture on Halloween. Read below for the Manchester City vs Dortmund picks.

Highlights

  • Man City and Dortmund clash on Wednesday in the Champions League
  • The Sky Blues are a heavy home favorite
  • Keep reading for the odds, preview, and picks

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

Manchester City vs Dortmund Odds

Man City is a massive -250 moneyline favorite at soccer betting sportsbooks. Dortmund returns as a +550 underdog, which gives them just a 18.18% chance of coming out victorious.

City and Dortmund met twice in the 2022-23 group stages, with the Premier League giants winning once, while the other clash ended level. Haaland scored in one of those games.

Manchester City vs Dortmund Analysis

Despite a difficult spell earlier in the campaign, Pep Guardiola’s men are on track again, and look like a side who could conquer the Premier League and Champions League this term. While they’re still six points behind first-place Arsenal in England, anything can happen with numerous months left in the season. City cruised to victory on Sunday, smashing the Cherries 3-1 and in the process, leapfrogging them in the standings. Haaland’s brace led the Sky Blues to victory, and he’s now bagged 13 league goals already.

In the Champions League, the Norwegian has also been in wonderful form. He’s netted four times in just three appearances, helping City grab wins against Villarreal and Napoli. Guardiola’s group also played to a 2-2 draw with Monaco on matchday two. As things stand, City is in seventh in the UCL table, scoring six times and conceding just twice. A victory over Dortmund could see the Sky Blues move above their German opponents.

Dortmund is well in contention for another Champions League spot next season as they sit in third place in the Bundesliga. The Black and Yellows are seven points out of first, and just two points behind RB Leipzig, who are in second. Niko Kovac’s side is enjoying a four-game winning run across all competitions, which started off with a 4-2 victory over Copenhagen in UCL matchday three. Felix Nmecha led Dortmund to the three points with a double, and despite scoring just once in Germany, Nmecha has three goals in Europe.

On Friday, it was the always dangerous Serhou Guirassy who scored Dortmund’s lone goal in a win over FC Augsburg. BVB is sixth in the Champions League standings, compiling a 2-1-0 record. Their toughest task was on matchday one as they played to a thrilling 4-4 stalemate with Juventus before wins over Athletic Club and Copenhagen. Dortmund has scored the second-most goals in the competition heading into matchday four.

Manchester City vs Dortmund Injury News

Guardiola will be pleased to know that he has no serious injury concerns on Wednesday. Mateo Kovacic is his only notable absentee as the Croatian is battling an ankle issue. The same cannot be said for Dortmund, which will be without captain Julian Brandt. Niklas Sule continues to rehab an injury as well. Julien Duranville has returned to training, but he’s not quite match fit yet.

Manchester City vs Dortmund Picks

When Haaland is playing like he is, it’s hard to bet against City. Any opportunity he seems to put away these days, and I do believe he’ll showcase his clinical ways again. Instead of the straight moneyline, I’ll take the Norwegian to score, and City to grab three points. 

Pick: Erling Haaland to score & Manchester City to win -140 (Sports Interaction)

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Quinn Allen is a sports writer from Vancouver, Canada. His expertise spans across many sports, but he tends to write mostly European soccer betting previews for BettingTop10 Canada. He’s been in the industry for seven years. Quinn loves to be active in his free time, whether it’s working out, walking, or playing soccer.