UEFA Nations League: Denmark vs Portugal Odds, Analysis, & Picks

Quinn Allen
By: Quinn Allen
Soccer Picks
Denmark vs Portugal Odds, Analysis, & Picks

Photo courtesy of Nicolai (Flickr), CC by 2.0

Denmark welcome Portugal to Parken on Thursday, with kickoff scheduled for 2:45 p.m. ET in their third match of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. The Danes bounced back from a 3-2 defeat to Norway on Matchday 1 by beating Wales 2-0 on Sunday, while defending Nations League champions Portugal have made a perfect start with victories over Wales and Norway. Read below for our Denmark vs Portugal picks.

Highlights

  • Denmark and Portugal clash on Thursday at Parken in Copenhagen
  • Portugal enter Matchday 3 with a perfect six points in League A Group 4
  • Keep reading for the odds, preview, and picks

Odds courtesy of TonyBet.

Denmark vs Portugal Odds

Soccer betting sportsbooks have Portugal as a +108 road favorite for Thursday’s affair. Denmark sit at +245 on the moneyline, while a draw is priced at +270 odds. The O/U is set at three goals.

Denmark and Portugal met twice in the last Nations League campaign. The Danes won the first clash, but Selecao responded with authority in the second leg of the quarterfinals, winning 5-2 in extra time.

Denmark vs Portugal Analysis

Despite missing the World Cup this past summer, Denmark have shown their quality early in the Nations League. They took part in a highly entertaining battle with Erling Haaland and Norway on matchday one, suffering a gut-wrenching 3-2 defeat in Oslo. However, Brian Riemer’s men responded with a comfortable three points on Sunday against Wales. A Ben Davies own goal put the Danes ahead early in the first half before Gustav Isaksen doubled the lead just 13 minutes later.

After two matches, Denmark sit third in this group, and a win over Portugal could put them level with the title-holders. The Danes cleaned it up defensively on matchday two, but to be frank, Wales aren’t exactly a daunting side in the final third. The Portuguese, on the other hand, are, and Denmark already knows that after conceding five to them last year. The hosts will need to be solid at the back to have a chance at a positive result.

Portugal are flying high so far, sitting first in the group with three goals scored and just one conceded. Joao Felix bagged the winner against Wales on matchday one, and the former Chelsea man also played hero vs Norway, scoring the opener. Although Haaland drew the Norwegians level, Goncalo Ramos quickly recovered Portugal’s lead, netting just three minutes later.

Jorge Jesus’s side were actually outplayed in terms of possession against Norway, controlling just 38% of the ball, while the hosts had a total of 22 shots and six on target. But, the Portuguese backline did its job and managed to keep the lead despite immense pressure on their net. We’ll see if they can replicate that performance on Thursday.

Denmark vs Portugal Injury News

Denmark remain without Alexander Bah, who is recovering from a long-term knee injury, while Patrick Dorgu is sidelined after pulling out of the squad.  
Portugal are also in relatively good shape heading into Matchday 3, with no major new injury concerns emerging from their opening two Nations League matches. Jesus should therefore have the majority of his first-choice squad available for the trip to Copenhagen. Bruno Fernandes has a chance to return after missing the Norway game.

Denmark vs Portugal Picks

Both of these teams have had no issues scoring goals, and Denmark have been much more clinical on home soil. Instead of picking a winner, I’ll take both teams to hit the back of the net. This will be an entertaining fixture.

Pick: BTTS -164/TonyBet

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Quinn Allen is a sports writer from Vancouver, Canada. His expertise spans across many sports, but he tends to write mostly European soccer betting previews for BettingTop10 Canada. He’s been in the industry for seven years. Quinn loves to be active in his free time, whether it’s working out, walking, or playing soccer.