Odds courtesy of TonyBet.
England vs Croatia Odds
The Three Lions are a heavy -435 favorite at soccer betting sportsbooks, while Croatia sits as a +435 underdog. A draw is priced at +540, and the O/U is set at three goals.
The Over has cashed in back-to-back meetings, in which England won both. They beat the Croatians 4-2 in the World Cup before the 7-0 thrashing last month.
England vs Croatia Analysis
The Three Lions have looked impressive in this Nations League campaign, following their quarterfinal exit at this past summer’s World Cup at the hands of Argentina. Thomas Tuchel’s men are second in this group behind Spain, winning three times and tasting defeat once. The World Cup holders beat them on matchday one before England responded with dominant victories over Czechia twice, and Croatia.
Harry Kane is already up to six goals in the competition, accounting for nearly half of his side’s 14 goals so far. The Three Lions have also been incredibly solid at the back, conceding just three times. All of those goals came in the loss to La Roja, keeping clean sheets in their other three fixtures. Confidence will be high on Thursday for the hosts after wiping the floor with Croatia just over a month ago.
The Croatians exited at the Round of 32 stage of the 2026 World Cup after losing at the death to Portugal, and their struggles have carried into the Nations League. Slaven Bilic’s squad is 1-0-3, scoring just four goals while conceding an alarming 14 times. The Checkered Ones only victory came against Czechia on matchday one before two losses to Spain and another to England.
It won’t get any easier on Thursday, as Croatia has struggled against the Three Lions in recent memory. They also face an uphill battle to avoid potential relegation to League B in the Nations League, needing to win both games against England and Czechia while hoping the Three Lions lose their final two matches of the group stages. And because of the steep defeat to the English in October, they need to beat Tuchel’s side by seven goals. Needless to say, that’s very unlikely.
England vs Croatia Injury News
England have several defensive concerns ahead of Thursday's clash, with Marc Guehi (hip) ruled out and Ezri Konsa (knee) also unavailable. Djed Spence is still building up his fitness and won't feature, while Bukayo Saka is absent from the squad due to injury. Dan Burn and James Hill have been called up as defensive cover. Myles Lewis-Skelly is also suspended.
Croatia have been hit hard by injuries, with Josip Sutalo, Martin Pongracic, Andrej Kramaric, Franjo Ivanovic, and Kristijan Jakic all unavailable. Ivan Perisic is also suspended after receiving a red card against Spain, leaving the visitors without several important players for their trip to Wembley.
England vs Croatia Picks
England have looked dominant in this tournament, and Croatia is missing numerous important players. I really have no doubts the hosts will keep it rolling, but with the moneyline offering minimal value, I’ll take the Three Lions to win and keep another clean sheet against a toothless Croatian attack.
Pick: England win to nil +106/TonyBet
