NFL Week 6 TNF: New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Odds & Picks - Oct. 9
All odds provided by Sports Interaction.
Giants vs. Eagles Point Spread/Moneyline Prediction
After blowing a big second-half lead against the Broncos last week to lose their first game of the season, the Eagles will have been looking for a “get right” game. And they are blessed with one here just four days later. Now, this is still a divisional game, which means there’s always worry for the favorite. But the Giants don’t instill very much worry in us right now.
The Giants are not looking nearly as frisky as they were a week ago. We admit, we are loath to even wager on a game involving the Giants at all considering how they’ve boned us the last two weeks. But they’re in prime time, so there is no choice.
And it does make us feel a bit safer to know that New York has been awful as a betting underdog since the start of 2024, putting up an ugly 7-14 ATS mark, eighth-worst in the league. They’re also 4-7 ATS as a home underdog over that span.
Philly, meanwhile, has covered the spread in six of their last eight divisional games, and their 5-2 ATS mark as a road favorite dating back to 2024 is tied for fourth-best in the NFL. They’ve also won six of eight against Big Blue since 2022. We’ll buy the spread down below a TD, but we love the Birds in this spot.
Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles Alternative -6.5 Point Spread (-140)
Giants vs. Eagles Over/Under Total Prediction
With the number way down at 40.5, we really wanted to take the over here. But we simply couldn’t do it. The Giants offense looks like a complete mess when they’re not executing fully laid out plans for their first or second drives of games. The Eagles offense is also lacking in identity.
The only worry here is that the Giants defense is so bad that Philly scores over 40 on their own. They did give up 26 to Spencer Rattler and company, but we don’t see a 40-burger being dropped by anyone on a short week in a divisional game.
The under has also been very popular at MetLife Stadium. Since the start of 2024, the under is 8-3 at Giants home games, and both New York and Philly have seen five of their last eight divisional games go under the total as well.
Prediction: Alternative Game Total Points Under 42.5 (-138)
Giants vs. Eagles Player Prop Best Bets
Player | Anytime Touchdown Odds |
Saquon Barkley, RB (PHI) | -165 |
Jalen Hurts, QB (PHI) | -130 |
Cam Skattebo, RB (NYG) | +155 |
A.J. Brown, WR (PHI) | +190 |
Dallas Goedert, TE (PHI) | +250 |
DeVonta Smith, WR (PHI) | +250 |
Tyrone Tracy Jr., RB (NYG) | +360 |
Jaxson Dart, QB (NYG) | +360 |
Wan’Dale Robinson, WR (NYG) | +360 |
Who else could it be but Saquon Barkley. He had one of the most acrimonious player-team divorces in recent memory when he left the Giants for the Eagles last year. And unsurprisingly, he made Big Blue pay for not paying him: he put up 176 yards and a score against New York in his return to MetLife last season.
And the Giants, thankfully for him, still have a pretty bad run defense despite a lot of big names in their front seven. New York has allowed 533 rushing yards to running backs this season, eighth-most in the NFL. The five rushing TDs they’ve allowed to RBs is tied for fifth-most as well. The 5.3 yards per carry they’re giving up is fourth-most in football.
Barkley has not had a very strong start to the season, only topping 80 rushing yards once and failing to reach 100+ scrimmage yards in a game yet. But he’s going to get going, and we believe this will be the week. No doubt Nick Sirianni will want Barkley to at least find pay dirt against his old team. Three RBs have rushed for 80+ against this defense already this season.
Best Bet:
- Saquon Barkley Anytime Touchdown (-165)
- Saquon Barkley To Record 100+ Scrimmage Yards (-158)