UEFA Nations League: Greece vs Netherlands Odds, Analysis, & Picks

Photo courtesy of Crystian Cruz (Flickr), CC by 2.0
Greece welcome the Netherlands to Toumba Stadium on Thursday, with kickoff scheduled for 2:45 p.m. ET in their third match of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. The hosts have made a perfect start to life in League A, beating Serbia and Germany to take six points from their opening two matches. The Oranje are also unbeaten under Xavi, following up a 1-1 draw with Germany by securing a 2-1 victory over Serbia on Sunday. Read below for our Greece vs Netherlands picks.
Highlights
- Greece and the Netherlands clash on Thursday in Thessaloniki
- Greece enter Matchday 3 with a perfect six points in League A Group 2
- Keep reading for the odds, preview, and picks
Odds courtesy of TonyBet.
Greece vs Netherlands Odds
The Netherlands are a very slim +122 favorite at soccer betting sites. Greece, who have really impressed so far, offers real value at +220 on the moneyline. A draw is also priced at +260, while the O/U is set at 2.5 goals.
Across 11 meetings, the Dutch have won nine times, with Greece notching just one victory. The Netherlands have back-to-back clean sheets against them.
Greece vs Netherlands Analysis
Greece haven’t been particularly relevant in international football in recent memory, but their start to this Nations League campaign has impressed. In a difficult group with two powerhouses in Germany and the Netherlands, Ivan Jovanovic’s men sit in first place after grabbing a 2-1 victory over Serbia before taking down Jurgen Klopp’s side on Sunday.
Although Greece was completely dominated on the ball by the Germans, their only shot on target found the back of the net thanks to Dimitrios Kourbelis, who bagged the winner in the 74th minute. The hosts will feel confident as the Netherlands come to town, but this will not be an easy clash, and Greece must be at their absolute best defensively given the attacking weapons the Dutch possess.
Xavi’s tenure as the Netherlands boss has begun with an unbeaten start, securing four points from two games. Cody Gakpo helped the Dutch rescue a point on matchday one against Germany in Amsterdam thanks to a late equalizer, while a brace from Mexx Meerdink powered the Netherlands to a road win in Belgrade over the weekend.
Now, they face the task of potentially handing Greece their first defeat in this competition. History is definitely on their side, but injuries are a concern in the final third. Gakpo has left the Dutch squad after getting hurt on matchday two, while Brian Brobbey is also unavailable after his injury against Germany. We’ll discuss more below.
Greece vs Netherlands Injury News
Greece head into Thursday's clash in relatively good shape, with no major new injuries or suspensions reported following Sunday's 1-0 victory over Germany.
The Netherlands have several notable absentees. Brobbey remains sidelined after suffering a hamstring injury, while Donyell Malen is also unavailable. Gakpo is the latest blow after injuring his ankle in Sunday's 2-1 win over Serbia. Jurriën Timber is also dealing with a groin issue and remains a fitness concern.
Greece vs Netherlands Picks
Despite missing two major pieces in attack, the Netherlands still have real quality, and it’s hard to ignore their success against Greece over the years. It won’t be an easy three points, but the visitors will secure a victory here.
Quinn Allen is a sports writer from Vancouver, Canada. His expertise spans across many sports, but he tends to write mostly European soccer betting previews for BettingTop10 Canada. He’s been in the industry for seven years. Quinn loves to be active in his free time, whether it’s working out, walking, or playing soccer.

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