NBA Playoffs Conference Semifinals - Best Player Prop Bets & Odds - May 7
All odds provided by Sports Interaction.
Jaylen Brown Over 20.5 Points (-120) vs. NYK
How much Jaylen Brown’s nagging knee injury is affecting him no one can know, but if it is bothering him, he seems to be managing it pretty darn well. He hasn’t missed a playoff game and is averaging 23.0 points in six contests. That includes four with 20+ points, including the last three straight, in which he scored 21, 23, and 23 despite not shooting the ball very well from long range.
In fact, he was 1-for-10 from deep in Game 1 against New York. A ghastly mark, to be sure. However, a bad night like that is almost always followed by a strong showing when it’s a star player in question. And if you take away that ridiculous night from the land beyond, he was actually 6-for-10 from inside the arc.
Brown was able to get to his spots in Game 1, and even if he didn’t score one three-pointer, he would’ve still had 20 points. The Celtics will bounce back as a whole from one of the ugliest shooting nights in NBA playoff history, and that rising tide will lift the Brown boat in Game 2. We’re not surprised betting apps gave this one a little extra juice at -120. Catch this one before it goes up to 21 or 22.
Josh Hart Over 9.5 Rebounds (-105) @ BOS
Josh Hart is really just a freak of nature. Or maybe not nature, but a freak of determination and will. He’s just 6’4”. Yet he averaged a whopping 11.5 rebounds in last year’s postseason (fifth all-time among players 6’4” and under), 9.6 per game in the regular season this year (10th all-time among players 6’4” and under), and has been grabbing 9.0 a game so far in the 2025 playoffs. It’s truly remarkable.
When his lineshim first started getting pumped up to these levels (if you look below, there’s a seven-footer with a smaller rebounding prop) we were apprehensive. But he’s shown consistently since arriving in New York that he can put up massive numbers on the glass despite his size.
He’s had 10+ rebounds in seven of his last 10 games going back to the regular season. That includes 10 or 11 rebounds in four of his last five games. He has also had 10, 11, and 11 rebounds in his last three games overall against the Celtics. We especially love the reduced juice here at -105, so get it while it’s hot.
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 8.5 Rebounds (-120) vs. DEN
We saw in Game 1 how the sheer size and bulk of Nikola Jokic might just be a little too much for the NBA’s answer to slenderman, Chet Holmgren. The youngster, who is seven feet and just 208 pounds, was clearly struggling with the assignment despite being a strong defender. He was in foul trouble early and sat for most of the fourth quarter because of that… Or was it something else?
The stats showed that Isaiah Hartenstein, OKC’s other seven-footer (who weighs 250 pounds), actually caused Jokic a little more consternation. When going up against Holmgren, Jokic was 8-for-13. Against Hartenstein, he was just 3-for-9, by far his lowest mark against any single defender this postseason apart from the Klaw, Kawhi Leonard.
Hartenstein’s ability to defend Jokic will mean more minutes for him in Game 2 as the Thunder attempt to recover from that crushing loss. He actually averaged 10.7 rebounds per game in the regular season, and he’s got 9+ in three of his last four games. He also had 11 and 7 in back-to-back games against Denver in the regular season. We think Hartenstein will be a double-double guy for the rest of this series.
