NFL Pick 5: Week 11 5-Leg, 6-Point Teaser Parlay

NFL Week 11 Pick 5: 5-Leg, 6-Point Teaser Parlay

All odds provided by Sports Interaction.

(A) Los Angeles Chargers -2.5 Spread → +3.5
(H) Minnesota Vikings -2.5 Spread → +3.5
(H) Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5 Spread → +1.5
(A) San Francisco 49ers -3.5 Spread → +2.5
(A) Baltimore Ravens -7.5 Spread → -1.5
Parlay Odds: +333

Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars - 1PM

The Jaguars seemed like they were going to cruise to a win last week against the Texans. But as they have tended to do in the Trevor Lawrence era, they still found a way to lose, giving up a 29-10 fourth-quarter lead. And let’s not forget, that was Davis Mills slicing and dicing his way through the Jaguars defense.

The week before that, they allowed struggling Geno Smith to put up 29 on them too. Just imagine what Justin Herbert is preparing to do to this unit. Not to mention that Jacksonville is one of the few teams that is unlikely to take advantage of L.A.’s biggest weakness: their injury-plagued offensive line. The Jaguars have just 12 sacks this season, tied for a league-low.

Teaser Pick: Chargers (+3.5)

Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) - 1PM

The Vikings pulled off an unlikely comeback to win the reverse fixture in Week 1. Chicago was also whipped in Week 2. But since then, they have won six of seven to run their record up to 6-3, good for a tie for first place in the competitive NFC North. That means they’ve got a little room to breathe.

Meanwhile, the Vikings are now sitting at 4-5, and it certainly feels like they’re going to be out of the playoff picture if they lose this week to fall to 4-6. Minnesota is desperate, so we like them to come out and punch a possibly complacent Bears team in the mouth on Sunday. It’s also worth mentioning that Chicago’s six wins have all come against teams with 2- or 3-win records. Not exactly the cream of the crop they’ve been beating out there.

Teaser Pick: Vikings (+3.5)

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5) - 1PM

Being billed as “Unc Bowl II”, this matchup is likely to go differently than the original “Unc Bowl” a few weeks ago that saw the Bengals come back to beat the Steelers 33-31 in prime time. The Steelers are going to be better prepared for the Joe Flacco show this time around, and there’s no way they let Ja’Marr Chase go for 23 targets for a second time in the same season.

Working in Pittsburgh’s favor is the fact that the Bengals almost never sweep the season series with the Steelers. They swept Pittsburgh in 2021 during their Cinderella year, but that was just the second time they’d done so this century. We’re not sure we would have taken this spread straight up as betting sites are offering it, but giving Pittsburgh a point or two on the teaser feels very safe.

Teaser Pick: Steelers +1.5

San Francisco 49ers (-3.5) @ Arizona Cardinals - 4:05PM

The 49ers have been dealing with a boatload of injuries on both sides of the ball this year. And while their defensive ones were more serious, they’ve got some reinforcements returning to the fold here for this divisional battle. Brock Purdy will start just his third game of the year, and 2024 first-round pick Ricky Pearsall returns to further bolster the passing attack.

Arizona lost the matchup in San Francisco by one-point back in September. They have really gone downhill since then, losing six of seven. That includes a real demolition derby of a 44-22 loss last week to the Seattle Seahawks. San Fran won’t beat them that bad, but Purdy will get the win here as his team attempts to stay in contention in the tough NFC West.

Teaser Pick: 49ers (+2.5)

Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) @ Cleveland Browns - 4:25PM

Lamar Jackson is good to go and at full strength as he looks to get his Ravens back to .500 with a fourth straight win overall and third since the QB’s return from injury. The Browns were already completely embarrassed by Lamar and the Ravens in Week 2 in a 41-17 game, and we don’t see this version of Cleveland doing much better, even if they are at home this time.

The Ravens are 38-15 all-time in this series, including a 27-8 record under John Harbaugh. They haven’t swept them for four years, mind you, but this feels like a sweep year. The Ravens could enter into a tie atop the AFC North if they win this and the Steelers lose, while the Browns are muddling through another lost season. They just fell to the Jets for crying out loud. Baltimore should be able to win by a field goal—at least.

Teaser Pick: Ravens (-1.5)