NFL Week 13 Thanksgiving Thursday Tripleheader Player Prop Best Bets & Odds
All odds provided by Betway.
Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, DET - Over 69.5 Rushing Yards (-110) vs. GB
Last week, Jahmyr Gibbs had one of the best games you’ll ever see a running back have in the NFL. He ran in the touchdown to get the Lions back into the game from 49 yards out in the fourth quarter then won it for them in OT with a 69-yard scamper. 219 yards on 15 carries. He has now gone for 90+ in five of his last 10 games. With the nation watching on Thanksgiving, we think the Lions are going to ride their superstar.
The Packers have a very good defense, but they are not impossible to run on. In fact, they have allowed 509 rushing yards over the past four games, which is the ninth-most in the NFL. They’ve given up 110+ in three of the last four, and we think the Lions try to impose their will on the Packers at home with their running game. That means a lot of Gibbs. And honestly, we’re surprised betting sites have put his number so low after his explosion last week.
Patrick Mahomes, QB, KC - To Record 250+ Passing Yards (-182) @ DAL
It’s been a very down year for the Chiefs as a whole, and for Patrick Mahomes individually. However, one thing he is doing better than he has since he led the league with over 5,000 yards is sling that rock. His 270 yards passing yards a game are his most since 2022. Mahomes has also topped 250 yards in eight straight games, and a few of those have come against defenses a lot better than this Dallas unit.
The Cowboys defense has been a little bit better overall recently, but they’re still pretty easy to throw on. Jalen Hurts, who hadn’t gone above 200 yards through the air for a month, just put up 289 on them. Don’t forget, Justin Fields threw for 283 against Big D and Russell Wilson did them for 450. The last four straight QBs to play Dallas have gone for 235+ through the air. And Mahomes has been on fire: only Jacoby Brissett has thrown for more yards over the past four weeks.
Derrick Henry, RB, BAL - To Record 90+ Rushing Yards (-110) vs. CIN
Derrick Henry has been picking up the slack over the last few weeks as the Ravens have turned their season around. Lamar Jackson’s return has gotten the most attention, but Henry has really been on a tear. His 361 yards on the ground over the past four weeks rank fourth-most in the NFL. He had a streak of four straight games with under 50 rush yards earlier this year, and now he’s on a run of six straight with 60+, including three 100+ yard games.
And Cincinnati has loved giving up 100-yard rushing games this season. The Bengals have the second-worst run defense in the league, giving up just under 157 per game on the ground. They have allowed seven of the last 10 opponents to feature a running back that gained 90+ yards, with six of those earning a 100-yard performance.
