NFL Week 11 Player Prop Best Bets & Odds
All odds provided by Betway.
Josh Jacobs, RB, GB - Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-190) @ NYG
We bet this prop last week on Monday night, and despite what a stinker that 10-7 game was, Jacobs still found a way into the end zone to keep his streak alive. He has now scored in six straight games and eight of nine on the season overall. Stretching back to last season, he has found pay dirt at least once in 17 of his last 18 outings including playoffs. When betting apps offer up Jacobs’ ATD prop at anything less than -200, you simply can’t leave it on the table.
Meanwhile, the Giants defense has really struggled this season to stop the run. Especially in recent games. They have allowed 606 rushing yards in just the last three weeks alone, second-most in that span (more on No. 1 in a moment). They have also allowed five rushing TDs over that time, tied for the most. For the season, the 12 TDs they’ve allowed to RBs ranks as the third-most in football. They have also given up a TD to an opposing RB in each of their last three games.
Jaylen Warren, RB, PIT - Over 79.5 Rushing Yards (-110) vs. CIN
There is perhaps no one in the NFL that is as criminally underplayed as Steelers running back Jaylen Warren. He is one of the most efficient toters of the ball. But for some reason, he hasn’t played more than 65 percent of the snaps in the last five weeks. Last week, he actually played under 50 percent for the first time since Week 1 despite the fact that he had 70 yards on just 14 carries.
There has been a lot of talk this week in the Steel City surrounding his playing time. Pittsburgh is going to try to get him on the field and put the ball in his hands more often, and it couldn’t come at a better time than this week against the Bengals. Cincinnati’s defense is the definition of swiss cheese.
They have given up a whopping 684 yards on the ground over the last three weeks, most in football. They have also allowed a RB to go for 100+ yards in five of their last seven, including a 127-yard performance for Warren a few weeks ago. Cincinnati also allows over 141 yards a game to RBs, over 20 yards more per contest than the next worst team. Dial this one up with confidence.
Oronde Gadsden, TE, LAC - To Record 50+ Receiving Yards (-110) @ JAX
Where in the world did Oronde Gadsden come from? He was the Chargers’ fifth-round pick this season, but he didn’t suit up for the first couple of games, and L.A. didn’t make him a major part of the attack until Week 6. But since then, he’s been arguably the best tight end in football. He had just 13 yards (though he had seven targets) last week, but that was because he left the game early with a knee injury.
However, it was a simple knee-on-knee that didn’t leave any lasting damage, and he finished the week off the injury report. Since Week 6, he has racked up 390 receiving yards (most by a TE over that span), including 60+ in four straight games before his early departure in last week’s contest.
And Jacksonville just so happens to be one of the worst units in the league when it comes to defending TEs. They allow 72.6 yards per game to TEs, third-most. Last week, we bet on Dalton Schultz’ over against Jacksonville, and he blew by it with his 53-yard day. He also had seven receptions on 11 targets. Prior to that, Brock Bowers absolutely dominated this unit, and Colby Parkinson had a season-high against them, as did A.J. Barner. Travis Kelce and Jake Tonges have also crossed the 50-yard plateau against the Jags.
