NFL Week 12 Player Prop Best Bets & Odds
All odds provided by Betway.
Wan’Dale Robinson, WR, NYG - Over 5.5 Receptions (+102) @ DET
With the Giants’ starting QB going down, you’d think a bet on a New York pass-catcher would be no bueno. But you’d be muy equivocado. Jameis Winston may have had a slow start last week, but generally, he is very good news for the guys catching passes on his team.
He has targeted at least one receiver 10+ times in nine of his last 11 starts dating back to 2022. And based off of last week, his guy in N.Y. looks to be Wan’Dale Robinson. He may have had just four catches for 36 yards, but he had 9 targets (over a 31 share), which was 50 percent more than the next-closest guy.
The Lions aren’t generally very susceptible in the secondary, but we believe Winston and company will be playing catch up, so there will be tons of opportunities for Robinson. He’s actually had 6+ receptions in four of his last six games, so this isn’t as big a stretch as those who haven’t watched much Big Blue this season might think.
Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, DET - Over 73.5 Rush Yards (-110) vs. NYG
The Lions lost last week, and one big reason why is that they couldn’t get Jahmyr Gibbs going on the ground. He had a great day catching passes, but that running game is crucial. Detroit is 0-3 this season when Gibbs has 40 or fewer on the ground. But Detroit, and Gibbs especially, knows how to bounce back after a bad outing.
In the other two games where Gibbs had under 40, he came back the next week with 94 and 142, respectively. After losses this season, Gibbs is averaging 124.0 rushing yards a game.
Pair that with an absolutely hopeless Giants run defense (allowing over 180 yards a game on the ground over their last four, second-most during that span) and you’ve got the ingredients for a bounce back game for the Gibber. For the season, N.Y.’s 116.8 rush yards allowed per game to RBs also ranks as the third-most.
Puka Nacua, WR, LAR - Over 87.5 Receiving Yards (-110) vs. TB
The start Puka Nacua had to the 2025 season was historical, putting up 52 receptions and 588 yards through five games. But he suffered an injury in the sixth game, and he’s been a bit quieter since then, only topping 80 once over his last four outings. He also played under 55 percent of the snaps in three straight games before upping it to 66.7 last week, when he had seven receptions for 75 yards.
We think he’s been working his way back to full health, and last week was a big step up. We expect another one here on Sunday Night Football in Week 12 against an ailing Buccaneers secondary. Starting CB Jamel Dean is out and his backup, Benjamin Morrison, is now questionable as well.
Tampa Bay already has the sixth-worst pass defense in football, so this just exacerbates the problem. They’re also giving up 160.3 receiving yards a game to WRs this season, eighth-most in football. The Bucs have also allowed an opposing WR to go for 85+ yards in five of their last six games, including three 100-yard games.
