NFL Week 15 MNF Steelers vs. Dolphins: NFL Betting Odds & Picks

Alex Murray
By: Alex Murray
NFL Picks
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Week 15 is a crucial one in the NFL with just a few weeks remaining in the regular season. And it wraps up with a game that could surprise a lot of people with its entertainment value.

The red hot Miami Dolphins (6-7), winners of four straight, head to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers (7-6), who are looking to find some consistency so they can remain atop the ugly AFC North. We’ve got betting picks and player props for the matchup as well as the top NFL betting odds in Canada, so read on!

Highlights

  • 7 of the Steelers’ last 8 opponents have scored 20+ points
  • 9 of Miami’s 13 games have hit 40+ points this season
  • De’Von Achane is averaging 130.0 rush yards per game over the last 4 weeks

NFL Week 15 MNF Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) vs. Miami Dolphins (6-7) Betting Odds & Picks - Dec. 15

All odds provided by Sports Interaction.

TeamMoneylinePoint SpreadOver/Under
Pittsburgh Steelers-180-3.0 (-105)O41.5 (-110)
Miami Dolphins+152+3.0 (-115)O41.5 (-110)

Steelers vs. Dolphins Game Prediction 

Who would have thought back in Week 6, when the Steelers were 4-1 and the Dolphins were 1-5, that there would be any chance that they both had something to play for in this Week 15 matchup. Much less finish the night with the same record. But after four straight wins from the Dolphins and five losses in eight from the Steelers, that’s exactly where we are.

Miami still has an outside chance at a Wild Card spot, and they’re catching a Steelers team teetering atop their division. Pittsburgh just lost T.J. Watt for the matchup, and while he hasn’t been at his game-wrecking best this season, that’s still a big loss. Rodgers still has that broken wrist, though, to be fair it didn’t seem to bother him last week.

Believe it or not, both of these offenses have been pretty good over the last month. In their last four games, Miami has scored 25.3 points per game, 10th best in the NFL. The Steelers are just behind them in 12th, with 24.0 points a contest.

Pittsburgh’s vaunted defense has also been very beatable during that time as well. They’ve allowed their opponent to score 20+ points in seven of their last eight outings. Miami’s defense has been playing well of late, but let’s not forget this is the same unit that gave up 28 points to Baltimore and 31 to the Cleveland Browns just a few weeks ago.

Miami has also struggled defensively when they play in prime time this year, allowing 20+ points in all three late games, giving up an average of 26.7 points per game.

Six of Pittsburgh’s last eight games have hit 40 points or more, and nine of Miami’s 13 games this season have gone over that number as well. We’ll buy a point down on the total here with betting sites putting this line at 41.5.

Prediction: Alternative Game Total Over 40.5 Points (-130)

Steelers vs. Dolphins Player Prop Best Bet

PlayerAnytime Touchdown Odds
De’Von Achane, RB (MIA)-120
Jaylen Warren, RB (PIT)-105
D.K. Metcalf, WR (PI+135
Kenneth Gainwell, RB (PIT)+195
Jaylen Waddle, WR (MIA)+210
Darren Waller, TE (MIA)+250
Pat Freiermuth, TE (PIT)+330
Darnell Washington, TE (PIT) +330
Jonnu Smith, TE (PIT)+360
Calvin Austin III, WR (PIT)+430
Malik Washington, WR (PIT)+480
Greg Dulcich, TE (MIA)+550
Ollie Gordon II, RB (MIA)+600

This one didn’t take too much straining to figure out. This MNF matchup features the worst run defense in the NFL over the past four games (167.5 rush yards allowed per contest) against the best running back in football during that same time (league-leading 130.0 rush yards per game).

If that wasn’t clear enough, we’re talking about red hot Dolphins running back De’Von Achane slicing through this Steelers soft defensive front like hot butter. Achane has gone for 90+ in four straight and 80+ in six of his last eight. Pittsburgh has allowed 90+ yards to the top back on the opponent’s team in four of their last five.  

Best Bets 

  • Devon Achane Over 79.5 Rush Yards (-110) 
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Alex Murray has been a consistent presence on BettingTop10 since he joined the team in 2020 just after graduating from Ryerson University’s Sport Media program in 2019. He has written for publications including theScore, Sporting News, FanSided, FantasyPros, and more over his 6+ years in the field. Alex has also been a lifelong athlete and sports fan who has channeled that love into his entertaining writing style and shrewd betting strategies.