This season’s Champions League Round of 16 continues on March 15th when Real Madrid play host to Liverpool at the Santiago Bernabeu. Though the Spanish side went down 2-0 during the first leg in Liverpool, they were able to storm back to win big by a score of 5-2 in the end, which is why betting sites and betting apps have them as small moneyline favorites but enormous favorites to qualify and advance to the quarter finals.
Real Madrid vs Liverpool Champions League Soccer Odds
- Liverpool beat Manchester United 7-0 last week in the lead up to this tie
- Real Madrid have not won in three games since their first leg win in Liverpool
- Real Madrid are favorites to win the second leg and to qualify for the quarter finals
Real Madrid vs. Liverpool Soccer Odds
Real Madrid clearly has a large advantage in terms of advancing to the next round with their 5-2 aggregate score going into this one, but with such a big cushion for this second leg, it is slightly surprising that most sportsbooks also have them as favorites to win this match straight up. Odds provided by Sports Interaction.
Total Goals O/U
O 2.5 (-192)
U 2.5 (+137)
Real Madrid Odds
While their result in the first leg of this tie with Liverpool was very impressive, the rest of Real Madrid’s 2022-2023 season, has not been. They currently sit in second in La Liga, trailing league-leaders Barcelona by a surprisingly large deficit of nine points through 24 games. It was slightly concerning that they didn’t push on after their big result against Liverpool.
They followed up that 5-2 win at Anfield with a 1-1 draw with Atletico Madrid in which they were lucky to get anything, owing the point they did get largely to an Atletico red card in the 64th minute. They followed that up with a 1-0 loss to rival Barcelona in the first leg of their Copa del Rey tie, and failed to score in a 0-0 draw against Real Betis after that.
Despite that, they have a chance to get rolling again with a league match against Espanyol on the weekend, a mid table team that they should have no problem besting in the lead up to this Champions League matchup with Liverpool.
The only reservation about them beating Liverpool straight up is that with their performance in the first leg, all they need to do is not lose by three goals or more to advance to the quarterfinals. That means that while they’re almost certain to go through, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Spanish club simply sit back and play not to lose, which makes Liverpool’s moneyline odds pretty intriguing.
On the other hand, the squad from Merseyside is going to need a perfect performance at the Bernabeu if they want to keep playing Champions League football this season. Not only has Madrid had a better overall season, but they’ve owned Liverpool in recent years, winning six and drawing one in the last seven meetings, including last year’s 1-0 win in the Champions League final.
Liverpool has not beaten Real Madrid in a competitive match since 2009, but still, it’s not like they can’t score on Madrid, as they showed in the early stages of the first leg when they jumped out to a 2-0 lead, but they’ll need to be more responsible and smart with their decision-making at the back to give themselves a chance.
Though they had a disappointing scoreless draw against Crystal Palace a few days after their whipping by Madrid in the first leg, they have bounced back pretty nicely since then, winning 2-0 against a Wolves team that humbled them 3-0 just a month earlier. The biggest boost probably came when they beat their most bitter rivals, Manchester United, by a record score of 7-0 last week.
Liverpool has not allowed a goal since they played Madrid, so if they can keep another clean sheet in Spain, it gives them a sliver of a chance at qualifying. Unless you’re a die hard Liverpool fan, you’re not taking a chance on those +1000 odds to qualify, but +194 odds to win the match could be a smart choice considering Madrid don’t need to win or draw to advance here.
Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including stops writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of the lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.
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