Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Game 5 Player Props, Game Picks & Odds

Alex Murray
By: Alex Murray
15 Jun 25
NBA Picks
Photo by Wikimedia Commons, CC by 2.0

Photo by Wikimedia Commons, CC by 2.0

Some complained about this NBA Finals matchup when it was set. But the only thing we could suggest for why they would do such a thing is that they don’t really like basketball. The two deepest teams in the OKC Thunder and the Indiana Pacers are battling, and we’ve now had two ties in the series.

It’s 2-2 heading back to Oklahoma City, and NBA betting sites are pretty sure they’re going to take their first lead of these 2025 NBA Finals. They’re nearly double-digit favorites for this one, which is ridiculous for a Finals game… right? Check out the full betting odds for Game 5 as well as our game picks and player props for the big Monday night matchup!

Note: None of our best bets feature odds shorter than -200.

Highlights

  • The Thunder have a 70 percent success rate ATS at home this year, 1st in the NBA
  • OKC is 8-3 ATS at home during these playoffs
  • Myles Turner has been a block machine in games after he blocks 0 shots

OKC Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers Game 5 (Series Tied 2-2) - Best Bets & Betting Odds

All odds provided by Sports Interaction.

TeamMoneylinePoint SpreadOver/Under
Indiana Pacers+180+5.5 (-110)O228.5 (-110)
OKC Thunder-220-5.5 (-110)U228.5 (-110)

Thunder vs. Pacers Player Prop Best Bet

Ahead of Game 3, we wrote about how good Myles Turner has been in his role as a rim protector following games where he recorded zero blocks. We took him over 1.5 blocks in that one, and he responded with five swats. And he got them early too. No sweating this one.

Then, in Game 4, he again blocked zero shots. So we’re going back to the well, because why not? His blocks prop is still at 1.5—the -155 odds we’re getting from betting apps aren’t ideal, though they do show we’re on the right track here—and he has not had fewer than two blocks in back-to-back games since late March.

Turner has played in 20 games during this postseason and he has only failed to block two shots in seven of those games—but never in two straight. One of those seven games was the most recent, in Game 4, but following the first six such games, Turner had 4, 2, 4, 2, 3, and 5 blocks. Turner has also been a much more aggressive shot blocker on the road (2.5 blocks a game) than at home (1.9) in these playoffs.

OKC is also one of the most aggressive teams in terms of attacking the basket, which leads to more opportunities for Turner, as we said before Game 3. OKC is averaging about 40 field goals per game inside 10 feet in these Finals. If Turner continues to play 29 minutes like he has (which he surely will, as the Thunder play big more than any other team), he will have ample chances to get us this prop again.

Best Bets: Myles Turner Over 1.5 Blocks (-155)

Thunder vs. Pacers Game Betting Picks

The Pacers looked like they might be able to take a real stranglehold on these NBA Finals late in the fourth quarter of Game 4 at home in Indiana. However, they got a little taste of their own medicine when the Thunder, who were down as much as 10 late in the third quarter, stormed back to even up the series at 2-2 and change the perspective of the remainder of this matchup.

Now back to 2-2 and heading home to OKC after achieving a comeback win against the comeback kings, we think it’s going to be very tough for the Pacers to lay a hand on OKC in Game 5 at Paycom Center.

OKC was just 3-for-16 from the three-point line in Game 4, and they were also nearly doubled in the assist department (11 to 21). But they still pulled one out, and in comeback fashion. That will be huge for their morale.

The Thunder have been the best team in the league all year, but especially at home. Their 35-6 straight up record at home in the regular season was tops in the NBA. They have continued that dominance in the playoffs, putting up a postseason best 9-2 (.818 winning percentage) record at Paycom.

They’ve been nearly just as good ATS: they are 8-3 ATS at home during this postseason, and their 35-15-2 overall ATS record at home is also tops in the NBA. As long as this spread stays in the single digits, we’ll roll with OKC.

Best Bet: Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5 Point Spread (-110)/Sports Interaction

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Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of their lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.