Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Game 7 Player Props, Game Picks & Odds

We took the Oklahoma City Thunder to not only win Game 6, but also cover the spread. Boy, were we off on that one. At least we hedged ourselves with a couple of Indiana Pacers player props that hit. But now, with Game 7 on the horizon, will we switch sides?

The Thunder went down big late in the first half, and the rest of that game was a procession. Can the feel-good Pacers continue their Cinderella run, or will SGA and the Thunder finally put a button on one of the most dominant seasons in recent NBA memory? Check out our NBA betting game picks and player prop best bets for the Sunday night NBA Finals decider in OKC!

Note: None of our best bets feature odds shorter than -200.

OKC Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers Game 7 (Series Tied 3-3) - Best Bets & Betting Odds

All odds provided by Sports Interaction.

Thunder vs. Pacers Player Prop Best Bet

If the Thunder win Game 7, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will win Finals MVP. Finals MVP, Champion, and league MVP. He will become just the 14th player in NBA history (and just the fifth this century) to accomplish that feat. That seems like enough incentive for SGA to have his best game of the year.

The Pacers can try to smother him, but as we’ve seen in this series, SGA has some teammates that can make Indiana pay when they give the MVP too much attention. And if he’s not doubled, it’s nearly impossible to stop SGA when he’s in rhythm.

And he will be in rhythm Sunday night at home. SGA has averaged 27.8 points per game in these playoffs on the road, but 31.8 at home. It was the same in the regular season, when he averaged 33.4 at home and 31.9 away from the Sooner State.

SGA has scored 25 or fewer points in just six of 22 playoff games this season. After those down nights, he responded with 27, 25, 31, 40, and 35. To get even more down to the point, in the deciding game of the first three rounds of this postseason, the MVP scored 38, 35, and 34 to close things out. He might put up a 40-ball just to make it special on Sunday.

Best Bets: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 33.5 Points (-110)

Thunder vs. Pacers Game Betting Picks

The 2025 Oklahoma City Thunder simply have not lost many games. Playoffs or regular season, it just hasn’t happened often. They’ve lost only 21 of their 104 games this year. And after 18 of those first 20 losses, the Thunder came back and won in the next game. And that’s what we think they will do in Game 7. Despite going to two Game 7s in this postseason, they are 6-0 straight up after a loss in these playoffs.

The Thunder are 12-8 against the spread after losses this year, the sixth-best mark in the NBA. The Pacers, meanwhile, are just 26-37-1 ATS after a win this season. That includes an 8-7 ATS mark in the playoffs, but a 1-4 record in their last five such games.

And this is all before discussing how dominant the Thunder have been in their home arena this year. That last game might have been a subconscious forfeit just so they could get the rush and support of winning it in their own building. They had the best home record in the regular season (35-6), and the postseason (10-2), and an NBA-best 36-15-2 home record against the spread, including a 9-3 ATS record at home in these playoffs.

The Pacers have been an amazing story, but it always felt like they were fighting against destiny in every round they were in. If they win, it will be an underdog story for the ages. But we think the Thunder will buckle back down, their threes will fall again (their three-point percentage is 40 percent at home and 23 percent on the road in these Finals), and they will win this one going away as betting apps expect them to.

Best Bet: Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5 Point Spread (-115)/Sports Interaction