Wimbledon Semifinals: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Odds, Analysis, & Picks

Quinn Allen
By: Quinn Allen
Jul 11, 2025
Tennis Picks
Photo courtesy of Carine06 (Flickr), CC by 2.0

Photo courtesy of Carine06 (Flickr), CC by 2.0

A spot in the Wimbledon final is on the line as world No. 1 Jannik Sinner goes to battle with Novak Djokovic in the semifinals on Friday, July 11. The first serve is scheduled for 9:10 AM EST. Sinner, who was dealing with a minor injury in the quarterfinals, didn’t have any issues taking down American Ben Shelton, beating him in straight sets. As for Nole, he got past Italy’s Flavio Cobolli in four sets. This promises to be a thrilling encounter between arguably the most in-form player on the planet and the sport’s GOAT. Read on for Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic betting picks.

Highlights

  • Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic meet on Friday
  • Sinner is a clear favorite to win here
  • Keep reading for the odds, preview, and picks

Odds provided by Sports Interaction.

Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Odds

PlayerOdds
Jannik Sinner-220
Novak Djokovic+175

Sinner is a heavy -220 favorite for the quarterfinal at tennis betting sites. Djokovic, who is rarely an underdog, returns at +175 odds.

This is the 10th meeting all-time between the two. Sinner surprisingly holds the edge, winning five of those matches. Their most recent clash came in the semis of the last Major, the French Open. Sinner came out victorious in three sets.

Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic Analysis

Sinner’s rise to the top has been rapid, yet he’s maintained remarkable consistency over the past year and a half. The Italian experienced an elbow scare in the Round of 16, but looked back to full strength against Shelton, taking care of the vocal American 7-6 (7-2), 6-4, 6-4. Now a fixture in the late stages of nearly every tournament, whether it’s a Slam or an ATP event, Sinner continues to justify his No. 1 ranking.

He also benefited from a bit of fortune in the fourth round, when Grigor Dimitrov—up two sets—was forced to retire due to injury. Sinner seized the opportunity and cruised through his next match. A win on Friday could set up a French Open final rematch with Carlos Alcaraz—assuming the Spaniard gets past Taylor Fritz in the other semifinal.

Despite his age, Djokovic is still performing at the highest level and now finds himself one win away from competing for an eighth Wimbledon title. Nole is 26-8 on the season with one title, and he’s now reached the semifinals at both Grand Slams so far this year. He retired against Alexander Zverev at the Australian Open due to injury and was later defeated by Sinner in the Roland Garros semis.

Djokovic has long ruled the All England Club, making six straight finals. He’ll look to extend that streak to seven on Friday. After losses to Alcaraz the past two years, Djokovic is motivated—not just for redemption against Sinner, but also potentially for another shot at the reigning champion in the final.

Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic Picks

I expect this to be a war. A five-set match wouldn’t surprise me in the least. Rather than backing a winner, I’m locking in the semifinal to go the distance, offering great value at +230 odds.

Pick: Sinner vs Djokovic to go five sets (+230)/ Sports Interaction

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Quinn Allen is a seasoned sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada. Quinn is a full-time senior editor for ClutchPoints where he specializes in baseball, soccer, basketball, and football. Quinn has been working in the industry for five years and brings a unique outlook to sports journalism, having played high-level soccer and baseball growing up. Quinn resides in Kelowna, Canada, and enjoys playing soccer and going to the gym.