Premier League: Arsenal vs Chelsea Odds, Analysis, & Picks

Quinn Allen
By: Quinn Allen
Soccer Picks
Photo courtesy of Josh Russell (Flickr), CC by 2.0

Photo courtesy of Josh Russell (Flickr), CC by 2.0

Arsenal welcome Chelsea to the Emirates Stadium on Sunday at 11:30 a.m. ET, with both London rivals looking to maintain their perfect starts to the 2026-27 Premier League campaign. The defending champions followed up a dominant 3-0 victory over Coventry City with a hard-fought 1-0 win at Aston Villa on Monday, keeping clean sheets in both matches. Chelsea have also taken six points from six under Xabi Alonso, beating Fulham 3-2 before edging Brighton 4-3 in another high-scoring affair last weekend. With both sides carrying plenty of early momentum, Sunday’s derby should be an entertaining battle in North London. Read below for our Arsenal vs Chelsea picks.

Highlights

  • Arsenal and Chelsea clash on Sunday at the Emirates Stadium
  • Both London clubs have won their first two Premier League matches
  • Keep reading for the odds, preview, and picks

Odds courtesy of TonyBet.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Odds

The Gunners are a clear -137 moneyline favorite at soccer betting sites. The Blues, meanwhile, sit as a +380 underdog. A draw is priced at +290.  
Arsenal’s record in recent London derbies is essentially flawless. They’ve gone unbeaten in the last 11 meetings dating back to 2022, winning on eight occasions. The champions pulled off the league double against Chelsea last term.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Analysis

The defending champions may have a target on their back, but they certainly look the part of a side that could lift the Premier League’s ultimate prize again. Arsenal have yet to concede a goal through two games, with their stout backline has been just as solid as it was in 2025-26. The fixture against Villa wasn’t easy, but Bukayo Saka’s 59th-minute winner proved to be enough to leave Birmingham with three points.

Villa certainly aren’t pushovers, but their form heading into last weekend’s match was underwhelming, and the Lions posed little threat in the final third. That said, this Chelsea clash gives Arsenal their first real test early in the campaign. Although the Blues haven’t caused many issues for the Gunners in recent years, they’re a team that is firing on all cylinders at the moment, especially in the final third. The North Londoners must bring their best.

A new era under Alonso is up and running for Chelsea, and the early returns are very promising. While the Blues have looked vulnerable at times defensively, the trio of João Pedro, Cole Palmer, and Morgan Rogers are thriving up top. They’ve already helped Chelsea score seven goals through two matches, with Pedro and Palmer both netting twice apiece.

The Blues were quick to rip through Brighton on matchday two, going three goals to the good by the 32nd minute courtesy of goals from Roméo Lavia, Pedro Neto, and Pedro. Palmer added a fourth late in the second half, but the Seagulls did make things interesting, with the fixture ultimately ending 4-3 at Stamford Bridge.

As impressive as Chelsea’s attack has looked, they also face a stiff assignment here against a rock-solid Arsenal defense and midfield. The Blues’ backline must clean it up as well, as they’ve already allowed five goals. Sloppy mistakes simply will not cut it against the champions. If Alonso’s men are going to have any shot at pulling off the upset here, they have to play a clean 90 minutes of football on both ends of the pitch.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Injury News

Arsenal remain without William Saliba due to a long-term back injury, while Bruno Guimarães and Cristhian Mosquera are doubts after picking up minor issues against Aston Villa. Jurriën Timber has returned to training following his groin injury, although a decision on his availability will be made closer to kickoff.

Chelsea have a significant question mark over Moisés Caicedo, who aggravated an existing issue after coming off the bench against Brighton last weekend. Jordan Henderson and Marco Palestra are expected to miss Sunday's derby, leaving Alonso somewhat short of options in midfield.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Picks

This looks like Chelsea’s best opportunity to find a positive result against Arsenal in quite some time. They’re in good form and look very confident going forward. Instead of picking a winner here, I like both teams to score. The Blues should find at least one moment of brilliance, and the Gunners’ consistent attack will also expose their rivals.

Pick: BTTS -143/TonyBet

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Quinn Allen is a sports writer from Vancouver, Canada. His expertise spans across many sports, but he tends to write mostly European soccer betting previews for BettingTop10 Canada. He’s been in the industry for seven years. Quinn loves to be active in his free time, whether it’s working out, walking, or playing soccer.