Wild vs. Canadiens Prediction, Odds and Exact Score for Nov. 10

Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Bell Centre

Odds courtesy of bet365, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

Montréal has spent much of the season turning hockey games into track meets. Minnesota has made a habit of shutting those down.

The Canadiens (11-3-3) have seen 11 of their first 17 games reach seven combined goals, leaning on an offence averaging 3.47 goals per night. The Wild (12-3-4), meanwhile, have allowed an NHL-low 2.26 goals per game, and only five of their 19 contests have reached that same seven-goal mark.

Something has to give Tuesday at the Bell Centre, where Montréal enters on a five-game point streak after beating Toronto 4-2 on Saturday. Minnesota hasn't lost in regulation over its last five, either, setting up a meeting between two teams getting results in very different ways.

The Wild are modest -123 favourites at bet365, and their ability to keep opponents off the scoresheet gives us reason to back them at that price. Minnesota moneyline at -123 is our preferred bet.

Minnesota Wild Moneyline: -123

Montréal has had plenty of success trading goals this season. Minnesota has been much harder to drag into that kind of game.

The Wild allow an NHL-low 2.26 goals per game and just 25.6 shots per night, the eighth-fewest in the league. Only five of their 19 games have reached seven combined goals. Against a Canadiens offence averaging 3.47 goals per game, Minnesota's ability to limit chances could be the difference.

Montréal has been less convincing defensively, allowing 3.12 goals per game. Minnesota, averaging 3.32 goals itself, has enough firepower to exploit those weaknesses without getting dragged into a shootout.

Our scoring model gives Minnesota a 63.7% chance of winning, compared with the market's margin-free estimate of 52.7%. Blending the two produces a final probability of 58.2%.

At -123, the Wild need to win 55.2% of the time to break even, leaving an estimated 3.0-percentage-point edge, comfortably above our 1.0-point minimum.

The biggest concern is Montréal's offence, which won't be easy to contain at Bell Centre. Minnesota's defensive numbers are impressive, but 19 games is still a small sample. Even so, the market appears to be underestimating just how difficult Minnesota has been to score against.

Minnesota moneyline at -123 is our best bet, playable at -130 or better.

Bet on Wild vs Canadiens: Wild Moneyline (-123)

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Odds from bet365, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

Montréal Canadiens

Montréal has been one of the NHL's more entertaining teams, although not always for reasons its coaches would appreciate. The Canadiens average 3.47 goals per game (10th), but allow 3.12, with 11 of their 17 games reaching seven combined goals.

That offensive firepower has helped Montréal build an 11-3-3 record, but Minnesota presents a tougher challenge. The Wild rarely give opponents much room to work with, making every scoring opportunity more valuable.

Discipline is another concern. Montréal has been shorthanded 4.06 times per game, the third-most in the NHL. That's asking for trouble against Minnesota's eighth-ranked power play (26.9%), particularly with the Canadiens' own power play struggling at 15.4% (28th).

Still, Montréal has earned points in five straight games, including a 4-2 win over Toronto. The Canadiens have the scoring talent to test Minnesota's defence, but giving the Wild repeated opportunities with the man advantage could prove costly.

Montréal Canadiens Projected Lineup

Goalie: Jacob Fowler (projected, unconfirmed). Jakub Dobes is also available.

Forwards: C. Caufield, N. Suzuki, J. Slafkovský, C. Kreider, O. Beck, Z. Bolduc, P. Danault, A. Texier, A. Newhook, O. Kapanen, K. Dach.

Defence: L. Hutson, N. Dobson, K. Guhle, A. Carrier, A. Xhekaj, A. Engstrom.

Injuries and Availability:

• Jake Evans: Hand injury; day-to-day, availability unconfirmed.
• Josh Anderson: Personal reasons; listed as out.
• Samuel Montembeault: Injured reserve (lower body).
• Ivan Demidov: Injured reserve (ankle).
• Mike Matheson: Lower-body injury.

Starting goalie and final lines are subject to change.

Minnesota Wild

Minnesota has been giving opponents very little to work with. The Wild allow an NHL-low 2.26 goals per game and just 25.6 shots, making them one of the toughest teams to generate offence against.

They're hardly struggling to score themselves. Kirill Kaprizov leads Minnesota with 16 goals and 31 points, while the Wild average 3.32 goals per game. Recent wins over Washington (5-1) and San Jose (4-1) show they can put games away without giving much back.

Special teams could also favour Minnesota. Its power play ranks eighth at 26.9%, a dangerous matchup for a Montréal team that spends plenty of time in the penalty box.

The Wild are 3-0-2 over their last five, with both losses coming in overtime. Montréal will test their defensive discipline, but Minnesota arrives with the scoring talent and goaltending to handle a difficult road matchup.

Minnesota Wild Projected Lineup

Goalie: Jesper Wallstedt (projected, unconfirmed). Calvin Pickard is also available.

Forwards: K. Kaprizov, J. Eriksson Ek, M. Boldy, B. Coleman, R. Hartman, B. Brink, M. Shabanov, D. Yurov, Y. Trenin, M. Foligno, N. Sturm, N. Foligno.

Defence: Q. Hughes, J. Brodin, O. Maatta, Z. Bogosian, M. Kiersted, D. Spacek.

Injuries and Availability:

• Michael McCarron: Upper-body injury; unavailable.
• Brock Faber: Injured reserve (skull fracture).
• Jared Spurgeon: Injured reserve (lower body).
• Filip Gustavsson: Injured reserve (hip).

Starting goalie and final lines remain subject to confirmation.

Lines and starting goalies are subject to change. Check team reports before puck drop.

Moneyline

Canadiens +102 | Wild -123

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Odds from bet365, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

Canadiens' Last Five Games

Wild's Last Five Games

Scores are listed with each team's goals first, including the deciding shootout goal where applicable. Goals-per-game averages and shot statistics exclude shootout results, while the over/under records reflect the additional goal awarded to the shootout winner.

Minnesota has the stronger defensive record, but Montréal isn't an easy opponent to put away. The Canadiens have earned points in 10 straight games and are 5-2-2 at Bell Centre, where their offence has been particularly difficult to contain.

The Wild have been excellent away from home themselves, going 7-3-2 on the road. With Kirill Kaprizov leading a productive offence and Minnesota allowing the fewest goals in the NHL, there's good reason to favour the visitors.

The market gives Minnesota a 52.7% chance of winning after removing the bookmaker's margin. Our blended estimate is considerably higher at 58.2%, making the Wild moneyline at -123 our preferred play.

Minnesota -1.5 at +200 also qualifies, with an estimated 1.4-percentage-point edge. But against a Canadiens team that has been competitive throughout its recent run, asking the Wild to win by multiple goals adds unnecessary risk.

Minnesota has won three of the last four meetings, including a 4-3 overtime victory in February. That's useful context, although the current defensive matchup carries considerably more weight than a handful of head-to-head results.

Our model makes Minnesota 3-2 the most likely regulation scoreline at 5.7%, ahead of a 2-2 tie at 5.2%. Among final results, a 3-2 Wild victory also leads at 8.7%, compared with 6.6% for Montréal winning by the same score.

The projected goals reinforce that outlook: 3.27 for Minnesota and 2.48 for Montréal, combining for 5.75 against a 6.5-goal line.

Montréal has the firepower to make this a difficult night for the Wild, particularly at the Bell Centre. But Minnesota has spent the season making life miserable for opposing offences, and we expect that to continue Tuesday.

Our prediction is a 3-2 Minnesota win, with the Wild moneyline at -123 our recommended bet, playable at -130 or better. Montréal won't make it easy, but the Wild have shown they can win without giving opponents much room to breathe.