Devils vs. Jets Prediction, Odds and Exact Score for Nov. 10

Odds courtesy of bet365, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

Connor Hellebuyck is returning to Winnipeg. Just not in the net Jets fans spent years watching him patrol.

The former Winnipeg goaltender returns to the Canada Life Centre on Tuesday for the first time since his October trade to New Jersey, although he's expected to watch from the bench. Meanwhile, the Devils (13-5-0) arrive riding five straight wins, three of which required overtime or a shootout.

Winnipeg (7-8-3) has won three straight itself, but keeping the puck out has been a problem. The Jets have allowed 3.50 goals per game, and each of their last six contests has reached seven combined goals. That's a potentially dangerous combination against a red-hot New Jersey team leading the NHL with 33.7 shots per game.

The Devils are -154 favourites at bet365, with Winnipeg at +127. New Jersey has the stronger case to win, but the current odds don't leave much room for error.

Over 6.5 goals at +109 comes closest to offering value, although we'd need +115 or better before placing a bet.

Over 6.5 Goals: Wait for +115 or Better

Winnipeg's recent winning streak hasn't exactly been built on airtight defence. The Jets have allowed 3.50 goals per game, and their last six contests have all reached seven combined goals. They've won three straight, but even during that run, opponents have found ways to put the puck in the net.

The Jets haven't been especially productive themselves, averaging just 2.72 goals per game (26th). Their power play, however, could help make up some of that difference. Winnipeg converts 21.8% of its chances with the man advantage, and New Jersey's penalty kill ranks 29th at 67.6%. That's one matchup the Jets should be looking to exploit.

New Jersey has been considerably tougher to score against at even strength. The Devils allow just 24.8 shots per game, fourth-fewest in the NHL, and surrender only 2.83 goals per night. Winnipeg's recent run of high-scoring games is worth noting, but the Devils aren't giving opponents nearly as much to work with.

Our scoring model gives Over 6.5 a 49.6% chance of hitting, compared with the market's margin-free estimate of 45.9%. Blending the two produces a final probability of 47.7%.

At +109, the over needs to hit 47.8% of the time to break even, leaving us essentially no edge, and below our 1.0-percentage-point minimum.

At +115, the break-even probability drops to 46.5%, giving us approximately 1.2 percentage points of value.

Over 6.5 is worth monitoring, but there's no bet at +109. We'd reconsider at +115 or better.

Odds from bet365, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

Winnipeg Jets

Winnipeg's three-game winning streak has been a welcome change after an ugly stretch that included a 7-0 loss to Carolina and a 5-2 defeat against Florida. The Jets have since beaten Montréal, Vancouver and Tampa Bay, scoring 15 goals across those victories.

Kyle Connor and Mark Scheifele remain the driving forces offensively. Connor's finishing ability and Scheifele's playmaking give Winnipeg a dangerous combination on its top line, with Gabriel Vilardi providing another scoring threat around the net.

The problem is what happens when Winnipeg doesn't have the puck. The Jets have allowed at least three goals in four of their last five games, and injuries on defence haven't helped. Josh Morrissey's availability remains an important question, given his role as Winnipeg's top puck-moving defenceman and a major contributor to its transition game.

Winnipeg has found some offensive momentum, but the Devils will test whether that improvement can hold up against a team that controls possession and limits shots as effectively as New Jersey.

Winnipeg Jets Projected Lineup

Goalie: Stuart Skinner (projected, unconfirmed)

Forwards: K. Connor, M. Scheifele, G. Vilardi, C. Perfetti, B. Yager, D. Mercer, A. Iafallo, A. Lowry, V. Björck, C. Koepke, M. Barron, I. Rosen

Defence: D. Samberg, N. Pionk, D. DeMelo, M. Ferraro, T. Bauer, H. Fleury

Injuries: Josh Morrissey (upper body, game-time status uncertain); Vladislav Namestnikov (injured reserve); Nick Bjugstad (injured reserve).

Winnipeg's projected lineup is based on its Nov. 8 game and Nov. 9 practice reports. Morrissey is excluded provisionally, while Skinner remains the projected starter. Final defensive pairings and goaltending are subject to confirmation.

New Jersey Devils

New Jersey has won nine of its last 10 games, and Jack Hughes has been at the centre of nearly everything. The Devils' star center leads the team with 25 points in 18 games, including 16 over his last 10. He's also scored three overtime winners this season, helping explain why New Jersey keeps finding ways to win close games.

Timo Meier scored twice in Sunday's 4-0 victory over Toronto, while Nico Hischier collected his 500th career point. With Jesper Bratt providing another dangerous playmaking option, the Devils have plenty of scoring talent beyond Hughes.

New Jersey has been equally impressive without the puck, allowing just 24.8 shots per game and 2.83 goals. Opponents haven't had much room to establish sustained pressure, and that could be a problem for a Winnipeg team still searching for consistent offence.

The Devils have won five straight, but three required overtime or a shootout. That's worth remembering with New Jersey laying -1.5 goals at +162. They've been excellent at finding the extra goal when needed, although that hasn't always translated into comfortable victories.

New Jersey Devils Projected Lineup

Goalie: Jake Allen (expected starter); Connor Hellebuyck (backup)

Forwards: A. Gritsyuk, J. Hughes, J. Bratt, T. Meier, N. Hischier, L. Evangelista, R. Tufte, E. Rodrigues, J. Boqvist, A. Lombardi, C. Glass, C. Brown

Defence: L. Hughes, B. Pesce, J. Siegenthaler, D. Hamilton, D. Chisholm, J. Kovacevic

Injuries: Anthony Mantha (throat/neck); Seamus Casey (knee, injured reserve).

New Jersey's projected skaters reflect its Nov. 9 lineup update. Allen is expected to start, while Hellebuyck will not start against his former team. Final forward lines and defensive pairings remain subject to confirmation.

Odds from bet365, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

Winnipeg Jets' Last Five Games

New Jersey Devils' Last Five Games

Scores are listed with each team's goals first, including the deciding shootout goal where applicable. Goals-per-game averages and shot statistics exclude shootout results, while the over/under records reflect the additional goal awarded to the shootout winner.

New Jersey has been the better team through 18 games, and its recent form makes a convincing case for favouring the Devils. They've won nine of their last 10, while Winnipeg needed three straight victories just to recover from a nine-game winless stretch.

But New Jersey hasn't been blowing everyone away. Three of its five recent wins required overtime or a shootout, and six of its 13 victories have come by a single goal. That makes the Devils' -1.5 puck line a difficult sell, particularly with Winnipeg finally showing some fight.

Winnipeg has won all four meetings since March 2025, each in regulation. That's an impressive run, although four games across two seasons shouldn't outweigh what these teams are showing us now.

The market gives New Jersey a 57.9% chance of winning after removing the bookmaker's margin. Our blended estimate is 59.6%, but the -154 moneyline requires 60.6% to break even. We're not paying that price.

The over comes closest to qualifying, helped by Winnipeg's six consecutive games reaching seven goals. Three of those four head-to-head meetings also cleared 6.5, although roster changes make that history less useful.

Jake Allen's expected start adds another consideration, especially with Winnipeg finding its scoring touch. But New Jersey's defensive numbers are strong enough that seven goals remain far from a certainty.

The Devils are our preferred side, but none of the available prices clears our betting threshold. Over 6.5 becomes interesting at +115 or better.

Our model projects 3.54 goals for New Jersey and 2.80 for Winnipeg, producing an expected total of 6.34. A 3-2 Devils victory is the most likely final score at 7.3%, followed by a 4-3 win at 6.6%.

Winnipeg has found its scoring touch, but New Jersey's ability to limit shots makes the Devils a difficult opponent to sustain pressure against. With Jack Hughes driving the attack and the Jets still struggling defensively, we expect New Jersey to have the upper hand.

Our pick is Devils 3, Jets 2, but there's no recommended bet at the current odds. Over 6.5 becomes worth considering at +115 or better.

New Jersey has earned its status as the favourite. The sportsbook has simply priced it accordingly.