Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Preview

Alex Murray
By:
Alex Murray
13 Jul 23
Betting Magazine
News - MLB
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Preview

The 2023 MLB All-Star break festivities have concluded, and with that, we dive into the second half of what has been a very entertaining season of baseball so far. A couple of the teams getting back on the diamond on Friday are the New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers, who will meet at New York’s Citi Field for the first of a three-game series.

Julio Urias will take the mound for the Mets while Justin Verlander will start for the Dodgers, who come in as ever so slight  moneyline  favorites for this L.A. vs. N.Y. matchup on most MLB betting sites.

Highlights

  • The Dodgers come into the game as the slight -125 favorites
  • L.A. won four straight games going into the All-Star break
  • The Mets have won six of the last eight meetings between these two teams

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets MLB Betting Odds - July 14th @ 7:10PM

The Dodgers come into this game on a pretty good run of form, having won their last four games and seven of their last 10 going into the All-Star break. The Mets have won just three of Justin Verlander’s last eight starts (three of which went to extras) while the Dodgers have emerged victorious in four of Julio Urias’ last six starts. The Mets have dominated this matchup over the past calendar year, however, winning six of eight matchups in that time. All odds provided by Betway.

Team

Moneyline

Runline

Total Runs

Los Angeles Dodgers (J. Verlander)

-125

-1.5 (+125)

O8.5 (-115)

New York Mets (J. Urias)

+105

+1.5 (-167)

U8.5 (-105)

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Odds 

The Dodgers have been having an excellent season so far and with the talent they have and their 51-38 record, they are arguably the second best team in the NL behind the Atlanta Braves. Over the past month, they’ve been one of the most potent teams in the majors, smacking 34 homers (5th) and batting in 118 runs (4th) as they hold onto the top spot in the NL West for dear life with the Diamondbacks and Giants breathing down their necks.

While Justin Verlander is always a tough task for a lineup, this Dodgers team won’t be too worried because they have been mistreating right-handed pitching all season. They are fourth in the MLB in homers of righties (101), fourth in RBIs (351), second in walks (263), 12th in fewest strikeouts (571), second in OBP (.333), and third in slugging (.451).

Urias, meanwhile, has had three rough outings allowing 13 earned runs in his last 12 innings of work after starting off the season red hot. Urias will want to try to keep the ball out of the air because while the Mets don’t hit very well off of lefties (.235 average, 5th-worst in the MLB), they do love hitting homers off of lefties with 32 on the season, good for fifth in the majors. If Urias can keep the ball inside the park, he should have a productive evening, but if the Mets get under that ball, it could be another short one for Urias.

It’s also worth noting that the Dodgers have been in a lot of barnburners lately, with the over going 8-2 in their last 10 games. In fact, the over has been hitting at a 60.7 clip for the Dodgers for the year, highest in the majors. Their games have been especially high-scoring when they hit the road, with 66 percent of their away games hitting the over.

New York Mets Betting Odds

While the Dodgers have been enjoying a ton of success this year, the Mets have been one of the biggest underachievers in the major leagues in 2023. They shelled out big money to get big names like Justin Verlander, but so far it has not translated to much success on the diamond, as the Mets exit the All-Star break with a 42-48 record, which leaves them fourth in the NL East and seven games back of a Wild Card spot.

If they’re going to start turning this season around right away, who better to have on the mound for the first post-All-Star break matchup than their shiny new signing. Verlander has been delivering the goods for his team, maintaining a solid 3.60 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP through 70 innings of work so far this year. However, the Mets have been giving him just 3.7 runs per game in support, which is almost a full run below their season average of 4.5.

If the Mets want to pull off the upset at home here, they’re going to need some slugging because if they’re not hitting lefties out of the park, they’re not hitting them at all. If not, they have to hope they can work Urias hard and get into that bullpen a little bit earlier than otherwise so they can take advantage of some better matchups.

It’s also worth noting that while the Dodgers are overs darlings, the Mets have been money for anyone betting unders this year. When they play at Citi Field, the over has gone 13-24-2 this season and it’s even worse, 1-7-1, when they’re a home underdog.

Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of their lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.