The Denver Nuggets won in blowout fashion for the second time in this series in Game 5 and now have a chance to finish the Phoenix Suns on the road in Game 6 on Thursday, May 11th at 10PM EST. Some say that a playoff series doesn’t truly start until a team wins on the road, and that has yet to happen in this battle as the home team has gone 5-0 so far. The home team was also the moneyline favorite for each game, and that trend continues in Game 6 with NBA betting sites and betting apps giving the Suns the edge at home.
Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets Game 6 NBA Playoff Odds
- Devin Booker is leading the NBA playoffs with 35.9 points per game
- Nikola Jokic is leading the NBA playoffs with 95 total assists
- Denver is 37-6 this year when Jokic has 10+ dimes
Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Odds - May 11th, 10PM EST
The Nuggets are one of the best teams in the NBA playing at home, but they’re not quite as convincing when they have to hit the road, which is likely why the Suns are the favorites for this matchup at the Footprint Center for Game 6 despite getting dominated in Game 5. All odds provided by Betway.
Phoenix Suns Odds
When the Phoenix Suns traded for Kevin Durant at the deadline earlier this season it was a huge coup for them. It seemingly made them instant title contenders, but taking a closer look at their roster post-trade, their depth was depleted too heavily, and that’s been a problem for them in these playoffs and especially in this series against Denver.
Phoenix’s top heavy roster has been playing like it over the past five games, with Durant and Devin Booker pouring in about 60 percent of Phoenix’s points in this series with both playing just a hair below 42 minutes per game.
Booker has been elite in this series to say the least, averaging 34.6 points per game and leading the NBA in playoff points and points per game. He’s shooting the rock at an ungodly clip—60 percent from the field and 57 from deep—that one would think would be unsustainable.
DeAndre Ayton has been a disappointment this series after having had success defending Nikola Jokic in the past, allowing the Big Cevapi to dominate nearly every game while contributing just 10 points of his own per night.
The absence of the aging Chris Paul, who was not very effective in the two games he played anyway, has actually been a blessing in disguise. The Suns have been able to get out and push the pace a lot easier with the spry Cameron Payne running the show.
The extra transition opportunities have been a big reason why Booker has been efficient, as he was able to put up 33 total fast break points in Phoenix’s two wins at home. Booker also leads the league in transition points (10.2) this postseason.
The Suns don’t have enough firepower behind Booker and KD to compete with the Nuggets, so they will need those two guys to explode (again) for Phoenix to stand a chance.
The pair have averaged 56.3 points in the three losses in this series while pouring in 79 per game in their two wins. It’s a simple recipe, but at this point, it’s all that head coach Monty Williams has got.
Denver Nuggets Odds
The difference in depth between these two teams has been apparent during this series, but never more so than in Game 5 when Bruce Brown came off the pine to put up 25 huge points, just one shy of Phoenix’s total bench scoring output for the game.
Michael Porter Jr. was finally back in the saddle on Tuesday night as well, pitching in 19 points on 5-for-8 shooting from long range. If Denver can get that kind of production from MPJ as well as a big game from one of their bench guys, the Nuggets will feel good about their chances.
Jokic has been playing at an unprecedented level in this series, exploding for 53 in Game 4 while also dishing out 40 assists over the past three games. Murray has not been quite as deadly with his jumper in this series, but he’s still doing his part with 24.6 points per game on 45 percent shooting.
The Nuggets have been playing great in this series on both sides of the ball, allowing the offense to flow through Jokic on the offensive end and showing a ton of energy and effort on the defensive end. Basically, all they need to do is continue their efficient performance on offense while holding KD and Booker to 70 or fewer points and they’ll be laughing all the way to the Conference Finals.
Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including stops writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of the lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.
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