UEFA Nations League: Spain vs England Odds, Analysis, & Picks

Quinn Allen
By: Quinn Allen
Soccer Picks
Spain vs England Odds, Analysis, & Picks

Photo courtesy of TU Lankide (Flickr), CC by 2.0

Spain welcomes England to the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Sunday for a highly anticipated UEFA Nations League showdown. The kick-off is scheduled for 8:45 p.m. ET. La Roja are perfect in this competition so far, and just beat Czechia on Thursday. The Three Lions also notched a victory on matchday five, taking down Croatia at Wembley. Read below for our Spain vs England picks.

Highlights

  • Spain and England square off in a blockbuster UEFA Nations League encounter
  • The two European heavyweights renew their rivalry with crucial points on the line
  • Keep reading for the odds, preview, and picks

Odds courtesy of TonyBet.

Spain vs England Odds

Spain is a -136 moneyline favorite at soccer betting sportsbooks, while England is priced at +330. A draw is set at +300, and the O/U sits at three goals.  
These two sides locked horns on matchday one, with La Roja running out 3-2 winners in London. They’ve grabbed back-to-back wins against the Three Lions, previously beating them in the Euro 2024 final as well.

Spain vs England Analysis

After lifting the World Cup this past summer for the first time since 2010, Spain have kept it rolling in this Nations League campaign. They’ve compiled a perfect 15 points from five games, bagging 14 goals while conceding just five times. Unsurprisingly, Lamine Yamal has been the star of the show up top for Luis de la Fuente’s side, scoring four goals in four appearances. However, the Barcelona youngster didn’t feature in Prague on Thursday's victory against Czechia, yet the visitors still walked away with a convincing three points.

Alex Baena opened the scoring late in the first half from the penalty spot, and Marc Pubill added a second in second-half stoppage time. Spain controlled 70% of the ball and had a whopping 22 shots, five of which found the target. They also didn’t allow a single shot on their own net against a toothless Czech attack. Now, La Roja will be looking to finish the Nations League group stages with a perfect record ahead of the quarterfinals of the tournament next spring.

England have been the most electrifying attacking side in League A of the Nations League, scoring a whopping 16 goals and conceding only four. They’ve kept clean sheets in three of their five matches and allowed three of those goals in the first game of the competition against Spain at Wembley. The highlight for Thomas Tuchel’s side was their 7-0 thrashing of Croatia last month, although the Checkered Ones put up a better fight on Thursday.

Morgan Rogers put the hosts ahead early on a mistake from Josko Gvardiol in the six-yard box, but Croatia equalized early in the second half through Inter Milan midfielder Petar Sucic. However, just five minutes later, the Three Lions were awarded a penalty, and Harry Kane hammered home his seventh goal of the competition on an evening when he became the first player to hit 126 caps for England. Now, Tuchel’s squad will look to turn their fortunes around against Spain, but it will be a difficult task, especially on the road.

Spain vs England Injury News

Spain are expecting a major boost ahead of Sunday's clash, with Lamine Yamal set to return after missing the Czechia match due to a knee injury. Mikel Oyarzabal is also expected to be available, while Nico Williams and Aymeric Laporte remain doubtful.

England will be without Marc Guehi, who withdrew from the squad due to injury. Ezri Konsa and Djed Spence are both questionable after training individually. Myles Lewis-Skelly also returns from suspension.

Spain vs England Picks

England haven’t had much luck against Spain in recent memory, but September’s clash was very close, and could’ve gone either way. With both teams possessing tons of quality in all areas of the pitch and Spain needing only a draw to lock up top spot, I’ll back a stalemate at plus money.

Pick: Draw +300/TonyBet

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Quinn Allen is a sports writer from Vancouver, Canada. His expertise spans across many sports, but he tends to write mostly European soccer betting previews for BettingTop10 Canada. He’s been in the industry for seven years. Quinn loves to be active in his free time, whether it’s working out, walking, or playing soccer.