Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers: NFL Predictions, Odds & Picks | Week 10

Monday, November 16, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD · ESPN

Odds courtesy of Bet365, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

Jacoby Brissett starts for Baltimore on Monday night, days after the Ravens placed Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley on injured reserve and traded for a new quarterback on short notice. The opponent is a good first outing for a new starter: a Chargers team that still hasn't found the win column this season. That gap between a quarterback change and a team searching for a first win anchors the NFL picks for this week on this side of the board.

Under 38.5: -110

I like the under here, because both offences have struggled, as the Chargers have struggled to put points on the board all season and the Ravens have struggled to score with their star QB out. Baltimore has scored 10, 13, 10 and 10 points across its last four games, all losses, and the Chargers are averaging 15.1 ppg, lowest in the league. Two teams scoring like that rarely combine for over 39 points, so the pick is definitely the under.

Odds from Bet365 and Sports Interaction, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

The Baltimore side

Baltimore's form has fallen off a cliff since a 4-1 start: they have lost four in a row and in their last three games have been blown out. Their last game was a low point in a 33-10 loss to Jacksonville at home. One thing the Ravens have for them, besides facing the winless Chargers at home, is that they last played last Thursday, so they should be well rested. 

The Los Angeles side

Los Angeles has been the biggest disappointment in the league, arriving off a 22-44 loss to Houston that left the Chargers 0-8, the only winless team. Justin Herbert remains the unquestioned starter, with 1,591 passing yards on the season, but an offence averaging 15.1 ppg, lowest in the NFL, has not topped 23 points in any game since Week 4. The Chargers also traded away linebacker Daiyan Henley before the deadline, thinning a defence that is already allowing 27.4 ppg, tied for 28th. The Chargers are a mess in what already looks like a lost season.

Bet365	Sports Interaction
Ravens Moneyline	Under 38.5
-233	-110
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Bet365 and Sports Interaction odds, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

Bet365's -233 moneyline on Baltimore implies a de-vigged win probability of 67% for the Ravens against 33% for the Chargers. My own number sits a few points lower, 63%-37%, because the market isn't fully pricing in the uncertainty of a new starting quarterback with five days to learn the offence behind a group that has scored 10 points or fewer in three of its last four games. I still favour Baltimore to win behind the league's lowest-scoring offence on the other side of the ball, and the total is where I see the best value.

My call is Baltimore 20, Los Angeles 13. Brissett only needs a clean, mistake-free night rather than a big one, leaning on the run game while he gets comfortable in his first start with his new team. That combined 33 finishes well under Bet365's 38.5-point total, and the Ravens  seven-point margin clears the 4.5-point spread. The Ravens winning and covering the spread with the total going over is my pick.