Super Bowl 60: Player Prop Best Bets
All betting odds provided by Betway.
Drake Maye, QB, NE - To Record 30+ Rushing Yards (-200)
During the regular season, there was a clear emphasis on limiting how often young franchise QB Drake Maye used his legs. And when he did tuck and run, they also limited how reckless he was able to be. It made sense considering how wild Maye was during his rookie year. And the plan worked, with Maye making it through the whole season without issue.
In the playoffs, those shackles have been removed from around Maye’s ankles. The team has evidently given the second-year man the green light to use his legs in any scenario where he believes it can benefit the team, even if he risks taking a hit.
Maye had just two games with 10 carries during the regular season; he’s got the same amount in three playoff games. Maye had over 50 yards on the ground just once during the regular season; he has done it in two of three playoff games as well.
Maye had just four carries for 10 yards during that ugly four-fumble game against the Texans in the Divisional Round. But against the Chargers and Broncos he had 10 for 66 and 65, respectively. Even so, we’re going safe here, so we’ll buy Maye down from 36.5 to a more round number.
Stefon Diggs, WR, NE - To Record 4+ Receptions (-210)
The Patriots use such a wide variety of pass-catchers that it's often hard to pinpoint when one will step up and have a big game to lead the team. But with this being the Super Bowl, the biggest game of the year, we suspect that Drake Maye will be looking at his resident veteran, Stefon Diggs, early and often.
Diggs finished the regular season off strong, posting 100+ receiving yards in two of the final three weeks. He was quiet against the Chargers in the Wild Card, but he had four catches for 40 yards and a TD in the Divisional and he caught five balls in the AFC Championship. He only had 17 yards against Denver, but the blizzard had a lot to do with that. Diggs is leading the team by a wide margin in targets (17) and receptions (11) during this postseason. We think that trend continues in the Super Bowl.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, SEA - To Record 7+ Receptions (-145)
The likely Offensive Player of the Year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba reminded everyone of who he is during the NFC Championship after going for just 19 in the Divisional. JSN had 10 receptions for 153 yards and a TD on 12 targets against the Rams. We don’t expect him to hit those heights against New England’s more stingy defense, but we do expect Sam Darnold to rely on his best receiver in the Super Bowl.
During the regular season, JSN had 7+ receptions in 12 of his 17 appearances. In nine of those games, he had double-digit targets. Big players make big plays in big games.
