Odds courtesy of TonyBet.
Valencia vs Barcelona Odds
Barcelona is a heavy -345 moneyline favorite at soccer betting sites. Valencia, on the other hand, is priced as an +880 underdog, giving them an implied win probability of just 10.20%. A draw is set at +520 odds.
The champions have tasted defeat just once in their last 12 meetings with Valencia, but that loss came in their most recent clash in May, when Los Che ran out 3-1 winners on this very ground.
Valencia vs Barcelona Analysis
It’s been a poor start to the campaign for Valencia, who are trying to improve upon their disappointing ninth-place finish last term. Corberan’s men have yet to win a match, and in the process, their attack has produced just one goal. A draw on matchday one was followed by defeat to Real Betis on matchday two before Coruna put three past Valencia last Sunday.
The visitors were two goals down by the 17th minute, but Umar Sadiq cut Deportivo’s lead in half just nine minutes later. However, a second own goal from Valencia put things out of reach early in the second half. Los Che controlled 55% of the ball and were far more organized in their passing, but they lacked the end product in the final third. Just two of their 10 shots found the target. It won’t get any easier on Sunday against a Barcelona side who has conceded just twice.
The Catalans very much look the part of the title favorite again this season after comfortably beating out Real Madrid for LaLiga’s ultimate prize in 2025-26. Barcelona had a productive summer window as well, adding Anthony Gordon to their already talented attack, while agreeing to a deal with former Ballon d’Or winner Rodri. Gordon is certainly loving life in Barca, already supplying three assists.
Flick’s group has scored 12 times through three matches, with Raphinha bagging a league-best five goals. Elche was disposed of by five in the season opener, before also blanking Athletic on August 27. Rayo Vallecano gave the Catalans an early scare last weekend, but Barcelona quickly turned it up a notch and buried their opponents. Raphinha had a brace, and Lamine Yamal hammered home his first and second goals of the campaign. Barca is flying, and Valencia’s form poses little threat.
Valencia vs Barcelona Injury News
Valencia has several absentees heading into Sunday’s clash. Sadiq is set for an extended spell on the sidelines after suffering a muscle injury against Deportivo La Coruña, while Guido Rodríguez will also miss out with a muscle problem. Pablo Maffeo, Justin de Haas and Diego López are among the other players currently sidelined.
Barcelona remains without Frenkie de Jong due to a knee ligament injury, while Gavi is also sidelined with a knee problem and is targeting a return later in September. Roony Bardghji is a long-term absentee after suffering a torn ACL and will also miss the trip to Mestalla.
Valencia vs Barcelona Picks
Barcelona have looked unstoppable, and I do not see Valencia causing any issues, given how underwhelming their frontline has looked. With the moneyline offering little value, I’ll take the visitors to win and keep a clean sheet.
Pick: Barcelona win to nil (+139)/TonyBet
