Arsenal vs. Liverpool - Premier League Soccer Betting Odds

Alex Murray
By:
Alex Murray
03 Feb 24
Betting Magazine
News - EPL
Arsenal vs. Liverpool - Premier League Soccer Betting Odds

For about five years, it was a battle between Manchester City and Liverpool at the top of the Premier League, but Arsenal have shoved themselves into the conversation over the last year and a half. With Liverpool sitting atop the Premier League table going into Matchday 23 and Arsenal sitting just three points back, this is one of the biggest games on the calendar, as Arsenal could pull even with Liverpool on points with a win on Sunday. With the Gunners playing at home in north London, they come in as very slight moneyline favorites on most betting sites and betting apps.

Highlights

  • These two teams will play to a stalemate in one of the biggest fixtures on the calendar
  • Diogo Jota will continue his run as the Arsenal killer
  • Gabriel Martinelli will find the shooting boots that brought him 2 goals and 2 assists against Liverpool last season
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Arsenal vs. Liverpool Premier League Soccer Betting Odds - February 4

League leaders Liverpool enter the match having won or drawn their last 15 Premier League fixtures. The last time an English team beat Liverpool was back on September 30th, when Tottenham beat them 2-1 in a very shakily officiated affair. Another North London club, Arsenal, will look to end Liverpool’s hot streak, having won back-to-back games as they rediscover their form following an ugly stretch to finish 2023. All odds provided by Sports Interaction

TeamMoneylineTotal GoalsDouble ChanceWill Both Teams Score?
Arsenal+125O2.5 (-159)Arsenal/Draw (-263)Yes (-182)
Liverpool+195U2.5 (+115)Liverpool/Draw (-164)No (+125)
Draw+260Arsenal/Liverpool (-357)

These two squads are extremely familiar with one another, having played twice over the last six weeks, with the two playing to a 1-1 draw at Anfield a couple of days before Christmas and Liverpool claiming a 2-0 win over Arsenal in London in the third round of the FA Cup a couple of weeks later.

However, there is one major difference between the teams that locked horns then and the pair that will dance on Sunday at the Emirates: the best player on either team will not be participating. That would be Mohamed Salah, if you hadn’t guessed already.

While Salah has shared several encouraging posts on social media regarding his hamstring recovery, manager Jurgen Klopp, who recently declared that this would be his last season in the Premier League, said prior to the team’s most recent victory, a 4-1 triumph over Chelsea, that Salah would be “out for this game, out for the next,” with ‘next’ referring to this matchup with Arsenal.

That’s a huge loss for Liverpool, as Salah has missed only 12 Premier League matches since joining Liverpool in 2017. Though Liverpool has won their two league contests without Salah this season, those wins have come against lesser sides in Chelsea and Bournemouth.

Salah would have been able to cause havoc down Liverpool’s right side considering Arsenal are without Takehiro Tomiyasu and will likely trot out Oleksandr Zinchenko, who is a marvel on the ball but very beatable in defense.

Liverpool have dominated this fixture of late, winning five and drawing three of the last 10 meetings. The Reds have also been road warriors of late, taking 13 of a possible 15 points from their last five away matches. Arsenal have been just as good at the Emirates, though, having won six of their last seven home league matches, with the lone defeat coming in a game they dominated yet lost to West Ham.

The race for the league title could hinge on the result of this match, which means it’s likely going to see both teams going for the win from the opening kickoff. Liverpool without Salah and Arsenal playing like their lives depend on it could very well result in a stalemate, which is why we like the +260 odds for a draw in this one.

While the result is very tough to pin down here, the way we’ll arrive at that result is a little less ambiguous. Here, we have the league’s third-best home goalscoring record (Arsenal) facing off with the league’s third-best away goalscoring record (Liverpool).

Both teams have scored in five of Liverpool’s last seven games, and Arsenal have only shut their opponents out twice in their last 11 matches. Arsenal’s last three Premier League games have all seen 3+ goals, and same goes for Liverpool’s last three league matches. The safest bet here is both teams to score at -182 odds, but over 2.5 goals at -159 is a decent bet as well.

Arsenal vs. Liverpool Player Goalscorer Betting Odds

PlayerAnytime Scorer Odds
Diogo Jota (LIV)+187
Darwin Nunez (LIV)+220
Leandro Trossard (ARS)+230
Eddie Nketiah (ARS)+240
Kai Havertz (ARS)+250
Gabriel Jesus (ARS)+250
Cody Gakpo (LIV)+260
Bukayo Saka (ARS)+260
Gabriel Martinelli (ARS)+280
Luis Diaz (LIV)+350

There’s more than one reason why Diogo Jota is at the top of the goalscorer odds table for this matchup. One, is that without Salah, he’s their most likely source of goals. And two, is that there is perhaps no one in the Premier League today who has a better scoring record against Arsenal in recent years. 

Jota has scored or assisted in five of Liverpool’s last seven matches against Arsenal, having provided an assist in their most recent meeting in the FA Cup. There’s also no one taking advantage of Salah’s absence like Jota, as he has scored three goals in the two Premier League matches that the Egyptian has sat out in recent weeks. +187 odds for Jota in this situation feels like a real steal and is our best bet for this match by a wide margin.

On the Arsenal side, it’s always tough to pinpoint one goalscorer because they have so many different guys that can put it in the back of the net. However, we’re once again going to roll with Gabriel Martinelli, because just like Jota, he loves playing his Sunday opponent.

While he did not contribute anything in the two fixtures against Liverpool this year, he provided a goal and an assist in both matchups last season. Not to mention he’ll be matched up with Trent Alexander-Arnold on the Arsenal left and TAA, much like Zinchenko for Arsenal, is a wizard with the ball but a calamity when he’s asked to defend. +280 odds for Martinelli with those caveats feels like another winner.

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Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including stops writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of the lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.