NCAAB March Madness Final Four Michigan vs. Arizona Player Props Best Bets

Alex Murray
By: Alex Murray
March Madness Picks
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The second semifinal sees the No. 1 Michigan Wolverines from the Midwest Region looking to end a six-week winning streak for the No. 1 Arizona Wildcats of the West Region when the two teams meet in the 2026 March Madness Final Four. Tipoff is at 8:50 p.m. in Indianapolis, making this the final contest before the Championship Game on Monday.

Unlike their counterparts in the other semifinal, both Arizona and Michigan have beaten the breaks off of every opponent they’ve had so far this tourney, collectively winning all eight of their games by double digits. But the dominance will end for one of these programs on Saturday night.

Of course, the major question is which player is going to put his stamp on this game and put on a signature performance? Which players are going to play above their head? Which are going to to shrink? We’ve got the answers for you with our three favorite player props for this high pedigree Final Four clash. Read on for our picks and March Madness betting odds!

Highlights

  • Arizona guard Brayden Burries has scored 18+ points in 7 of his last 11 games
  • Wildcats forward Koa Peat has hit the 15-point mark in 4 of his last 5 contests
  • Michigan’s Yaxel Lendeborg has hit 2+ triples in 11 of his last 14 outings

March Madness - No. 1 Michigan vs. No. 1 Arizona Player Prop Best Bets - April 4, 8:50 p.m.

All odds provided by Betway.

TeamMoneylinePoint SpreadOver/Under
Michigan-125-1.5 (-110)O157.5 (-110)
Arizona+104+1.5 (-110)U157.5 (-110)

Brayden Burries, Guard, Arizona Wildcats - Over 17.5 Points (-105)

Three of Michigan’s top four players stand 6’9”, which means there might be fewer opportunities for Arizona to score at the rim. Freshman guard Brayden Burries has been the Wildcats’ leading scorer during the tournament, and we think he’s going to continue that trend here with a plus matchup. With those big guys clogging the lanes, Buries’ ability to score in the mid- and long-range could be a go-to option for head coach Tommy Lloyd and company.

Buries scored just 14 points on 4-for-10 shooting in the win over Purdue in the Elite Eight, but he’d put up 18+ in seven of his 10 previous games, including six where he scored 20+. He has shone in big moments, scoring 21 points in Arizona’s Big Ten final win over Houston. And while he had just 14 against Purdue, 11 of those came in the second half when the Wildcats finally pulled away.

Koa Peat, Forward, Arizona Wildcats - To Record 15+ Points (-122)

While we don’t expect the Wildcats to have as much success as they usually do at the rim, it’s kind of hard to ignore just how good Koa Peat has been not just in this tournament but going back to the Big Ten final, where he also poured in 21 on 7-for-15 shooting against one of the toughest defenses in the league in the Houston Cougars.

Since then, Peat has gone for 15, 14, 21, and 20 points in four tournament games. He’s not their number one option, but he’s been coming close to it. With this prop offering nice value and Peat finally showing some consistency with 14+ in five straight games, we like him to hit this number in what we expect to be a high-scoring game.

Yaxel Lendeborg, Forward, Michigan Wolverines - To Record 2+ Made Three-Pointers(-166)

Michigan scores a lot of points for a lot of reasons, but the biggest one is no doubt senior forward Yaxel Lendeborg. After a quiet game in the Wolverines’ blowout win in Round 1, Lendeborg has put up 23+ in three straight games. In those three games he’s 10-for-19 from deep. He’s 6’9” but he’s got a stroke as smooth as butter from outside.

And he’s been on it all year from long range. He’s hitting at a 37 percent clip for the full campaign, and he doesn’t have many bad shooting nights. He’s hit multiple triples in 11 of his last 14 games, and it seems he’s only become a bigger part of the offense as the tournament has gone on, getting a whopping 19 shots up in that massive blowout win over Tennessee.

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Alex Murray has been a consistent presence on BettingTop10 since he joined the team in 2020 just after graduating from Ryerson University’s Sport Media program in 2019. He has written for publications including theScore, Sporting News, FanSided, FantasyPros, and more over his 6+ years in the field. Alex has also been a lifelong athlete and sports fan who has channeled that love into his entertaining writing style and shrewd betting strategies.