Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers: NFL Predictions, Odds & Picks | Week 8

Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI · Prime Video

Odds courtesy of Bet365, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

Green Bay is favored at home off last week's 20-17 loss to Detroit, and Carolina arrives off a 43-13 embarrassing loss at Tampa Bay on a short week. The Packers had won three in a row before the loss in their last game and has only beaten one team with a winning record. However, while the Panthers are 1-2 on the road in both of those wins they were facing backup QBs.

Packers -3.5 (-112)

My call is Carolina +3.5. Green Bay's offense ranks 28th in the league on third down and even with Josh Jacobs coming back in the last game the team still ranks dead last in the NFL in rushing yards per game. The betting trends point to the Panthers, as they are 13-0 ATS in their last 13 games after an outright loss. Green Bay is also 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games after a loss and 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favourite. Still, the Panthers were throttled in their last game and are 1-2 on the road and the Packers narrowly lost to a good Lions’ team in their last game, where they covered the spread. Forget the trends, Packers at Lambeau is the pick. 

Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown: -140

Jacobs is in just his second game back but already scored a 25-yard touchdown reception against Detroit, and he should see more goal-line work as his snap count climbs. Carolina has allowed a touchdown to an opposing feature back in three of its last four games, which makes -140 fair value here and on top of that were gashed on the ground in the last game and rank last in the NFL in run defense.

Odds from Bet365 and Sports Interaction, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

The Green Bay side

Jordan Love leads a Green Bay offence that is averaging 20.6 ppg but the defence is allowing 20.7 ppg. Last week the Packers twice drove inside the Lions' 10-yard line and came away empty, the kind of finishing problem that has been an issue this season. Josh Jacobs is back from a six-game absence tied to an off-field legal matter and scored a touchdown in his first game back. Green Bay is also without Micah Parsons, who has not practiced since tearing his ACL and remains on the reserve/PUP list. The team could use him back and they have 14 sacks in their seven games. 

The Carolina side

Bryce Young looks to rebound from a poor last game where he only passed for 163 yards with a TD and two INTs and was sacked five times. Chuba Hubbard (459 yards 4 TD) also had a season-low 33 rushing yards in the last game. Carolina is averaging 26.5 ppg but allowing 27.7, and that defense was exploited in last week's 44-13 loss to Tampa Bay, with top pass rusher Jaelan Phillips sidelined by a hamstring injury. The offensive line is also dealing with injuries and that unit allowed five sacks last week, which is a major concern.

Bet365	Sports Interaction
Moneyline Green Bay Packers	Spread Green Bay Packers -3.5
-200	(-112)
Bet Safety Net Up To C$1,000 or Bet C$10 and Get C$50 in Bonus Bets	125% Welcome Bonus Up To C$750
Bet Now	Bet Now

Bet365 and Sports Interaction odds, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

The de-vigged number has Green Bay at 64% to win outright against 36% for Carolina, but these NFL prediction odds lean harder on the home side than I think the matchup supports. My own number is closer to 58%-42%, a gap not wide enough to lay against the Packers at -3.5 at Lambeau facing a Carolina team that is .500 and coming off a blowout loss. 

I'm backing Green Bay to win and cover the 3.5-point spread in this Thursday night NFC affair, as they win 23-17. The Packers’ defense has held four straight opponents to 20 points or fewer, which keeps this from getting away from them. Carolina[‘s defence has struggled but Green Bay has scored over 23 points in one of seven games this season. Do not look for a shootout here and the picks are the Packers to cover and Under the total.