NFL Week 8 MNF Chiefs vs. Commanders: NFL Betting Odds & Picks

The Kansas City Chiefs have been rolling over the past month, having won four of their last five following a rough 0-2 start to the campaign. However, the Chiefs, now 4-3 and in third place in the AFC West, last lost on Monday Night Football three weeks ago in a game where they were heavily favored.

With Jayden Daniels out for the Washington Commanders, who have fallen to 3-4 after back-to-back losses, it will be backup Marcus Mariota leading the way. So a very similar situation for the Chiefs as their last MNF fixture. Will the result—an upset—be the same this time around? Read on for our predictions and analysis for Week 8’s MNF matchup as well as the top betting odds in Canada!

2025 MNF Best Bets Record: 9-11 (-4.52)

NFL Week 8 MNF Kansas City Chiefs vs. Washington Commanders Betting Odds & Picks - Oct. 27

All odds provided by Sports Interaction.

Chiefs vs. Commanders Point Spread/Moneyline Prediction

Double-digit spreads are never a nice sight for bettors. It means one team is a lot better than the other, but oftentimes in those situations, the better team will play down to the lesser team. Still beat them, but fall far from covering the big spread. That’s the situation we’re in here with the Chiefs, who are 4-8-1 ATS in the regular season since 2022 when they’re favored by 10+ points.

However, trends can only take you so far. Common sense tells us that this could be a real blowout. K.C. was favored over a division opponent by 13.5 last week and won 31-0. Patrick Mahomes has also had great success against the NFC in his career, going 27-6 overall.

Even with Jayden Daniels out, backup QB Marcus Mariota might not be the biggest worry for Washington either. They have allowed the seventh-most passing yards over the last three weeks, while Mahomes and Co. have put up the second-most over that span.

Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs Alternative -9.5 Point Spread (-140)

Chiefs vs. Commanders Over/Under Prediction

Washington’s defense has really been struggling recently. That’s what tends to happen when you go all-in on a veteran, aging defense. They get worn out. The Commanders have now allowed 24+ points in five of their last six games, and that includes a 44-piece given up to the Cowboys last week. The Chiefs, meanwhile, are the hottest offense in football, having scored 31.5 points per game over the last month, tops in the league by some margin. Just to be safe, we’ll still buy up a couple of points from the line set by Canadian betting sites.

Prediction: Alternative Game Total Points Over 45.5 (-162)

Chiefs vs. Commanders Player Prop Best Bet

The Commanders have allowed some wideouts to go for big numbers against them this season. Last week, both CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens went for 80+ yards, a few weeks before that, Drake London had an 8-reception, 110-yard day against Washington, and before that Raiders WR Tre Tucker put up over 140 on them.

That’s why we like Rashee Rice in this spot. He returned from suspension last week and hauled in seven passes for 42 yards. He clearly returned to his WR1 role without a hiccup. We expect him to be more efficient with his targets this week while seeing a similar volume. From his first NFL start midway through his 2023 rookie campaign to his season-ending injury last year, Rice had 55+ receiving yards in 11 of 13 games and 60+ in nine of those.

Best Bets

• Rashee Rice To Record 60+ Receiving Yards (-172)